The Economist

Google DeepMind’s boss on AI, power, God and what’s next | The Economist

Demis Hassabis, Alex Hern

An AI researcher outlines a vision where artificial general intelligence serves as a fundamental scientific instrument to solve existential challenges like disease and energy crises, rather than a tool for corporate dominance or "making God." Despite a fragmented geopolitical landscape that hinders the preferred international cooperation model, the speaker advocates for cautious optimism and the establishment of minimum safety standards agreed upon by leading labs. This approach aims to ensure the safe delivery of AGI within roughly five years, fulfilling a lifelong mission that prioritizes global benefit over personal accolades.

Has America frozen Israel out of ceasefire talks with Iran? | The Economist

Anshel Pfeffer, Jason Palmer

Direct negotiations led by Donald Trump through Pakistan to resolve the Iran conflict face a stalemate because Iran insists on a Lebanon ceasefire and Israel refuses to participate or extend the truce to its northern front. While President Trump reportedly possesses the leverage to force Netanyahu to halt airstrikes, the Prime Minister persists due to domestic election pressures and the failure of the war to achieve its core strategic objectives. These unresolved tensions, compounded by internal U.S. administration dissent and the strategic threat in the Strait of Hormuz, have begun to fracture the previously unified operational alliance between the two nations.

What America and Iran want from negotiations | The Economist

Amidst a severe trust deficit, US demands for Iran to surrender approximately 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium clash with Tehran's strategic pivot toward leveraging the Strait of Hormuz as a maritime toll mechanism. While pragmatic Iranian officials seek sanctions relief for their damaged petrochemical infrastructure, they remain resistant to ceding missile and drone capabilities that serve as critical regional deterrents. Consequently, the conflict has evolved beyond a narrow nuclear dispute into a broader contest over US-recognized leverage and the potential for a permanent toll system that could alienate American Gulf allies.

Why America and Iran are both claiming victory | The Economist

Gregg Carlstrom, Jason Palmer

Amidst an imminent US-imposed deadline that remains vulnerable to postponement, the US, Israel, and Iran are engaged in parallel asymmetric conflicts where both sides claim strategic victory despite failing to secure their core objectives. While recent operations highlighted the destruction of US critical assets like E3 AWACS planes and significant damage to Gulf bases, simultaneous systemic strikes on Iran have severely degraded its military supply chains and economic output, driving inflation above 52% and threatening $7 billion in non-oil revenue. With forward-looking risks escalating toward potential attacks on Iran's power grid or retaliatory strikes against Gulf desalination facilities, the current trajectory favors prolonged escalation over any near-term diplomatic resolution or temporary truce.

Will China be the real winner from the Iran war? | The Economist

Edward Carr, David Rennie, Adam Roberts, Zanny Minton Beddoes, Ed

Chinese strategic leadership now prioritizes establishing new economic chokeholds in pharmaceuticals and chemicals while explicitly exploiting Donald Trump's transactional nature to secure high-end chip access, fearing that his potential political decline would empower hawkish rivals like Marco Rubio. This approach is underpinned by a cynical calculation that the United States is losing global favorability and alliance cohesion, prompting Beijing to cautiously normalize relations with Southeast Asian partners and free-ride on the existing US-led security order. Despite acknowledging the need for systemic adaptation, China's strategy remains paralyzed by an internal contradiction, lacking a viable plan for a destabilized "law of the jungle" environment while simultaneously avoiding the risks required to lead a new global order.

How America is racing China to the Moon | The Economist

Oliver Morton, Rosie Blau

The Artemis II crew successfully launched on NASA's largest rocket, marking the first human spaceflight beyond Low Earth Orbit since the Apollo era. Under Administrator Jared Isaacman's leadership, this reconnaissance mission accelerates U.S. lunar ambitions to counter China's 2030 landing plans and establish a permanent lunar presence rather than a temporary visit. The spacecraft is currently executing a unique trajectory designed to culminate in a splashdown near San Diego by mission day ten, paving the way for the eventual Artemis III lunar landing.

Is a private-credit meltdown the next financial crisis? | The Economist

Mike, Josh

Private credit, a non-bank lending sector estimated at $1.5 to $3 trillion, surged following post-2008 regulatory shifts and a 2010s boom in private equity buyouts. Despite attracting institutional investors through high illiquidity premiums, recent redemption crises at major firms like Blue Owl Capital and Blackstone have exposed governance weaknesses and asset quality concerns. While experts predict a prolonged economic impact rather than a sudden systemic collapse, the sector faces ongoing scrutiny over the viability of its semi-liquid business model.

Peptides are not a miracle drug | The Economist

Natasha Loder, Tim Cross, Jason Palmer

Driven by high-profile endorsements and internet culture, the unregulated global market for peptides bypasses clinical trials to offer performance-enhancing substances riddled with purity risks and unknown long-term health effects. Regulatory bodies in the United States and United Kingdom are attempting to address this crisis through compounding pharmacy oversight and vendor crackdowns, yet enforcement struggles against the speed of online sales and social media promotion. Experts warn that without rigorous scientific validation, the current environment prioritizes profit and self-experimentation over the biological safety required to distinguish beneficial compounds from dangerous contaminants.

Big Oil’s Iran windfall won't last | The Economist

Vijay Vaitheeswaran, Alice Fulwood, Ethan Wu

At the record-breaking CIRA Week conference convened by historian Daniel Yergin, global energy executives expressed immediate financial jubilation regarding windfall profits from high oil prices while grappling with severe geopolitical risks threatening the Strait of Hormuz. Key figures like ADNOC CEO Sultan Al-Jaber and General Mattis warned that disruptions to this critical choke point endanger not only crude shipments but also essential fertilizer supplies and semiconductor helium, creating potential global food and technology crises. Simultaneously, the assembly noted a strategic disconnect in US policy regarding the conflict and observed that current instability is accelerating a structural shift toward electric vehicles and clean energy in emerging economies to reduce reliance on volatile supply chains.

Christine Lagarde: “Europe-bashing is vastly excessive” | The Economist

Christine Lagarde, Zanny Minton Beddoes

Despite the European Union's historical success in preventing war, the bloc now faces severe economic stagnation relative to the United States, characterized by a widening GDP gap, declining competitiveness, and growing populist unrest. While former Prime Minister Mario Draghi proposed extensive reforms and external pressures from Donald Trump's administration further exposed European vulnerabilities, progress remains incremental rather than transformative. This deteriorating landscape forces a strategic reckoning as the EU attempts to leverage its superior healthcare and social stability while navigating increasing diplomatic hostility from the US.

Former head of MI6: Iran has the “upper hand” in the war | The Economist

Sir Alex Younger, Shashank Joshi

Despite a powerful U.S. air campaign, Iran maintains strategic initiative through dispersed military capabilities and the threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz, creating a resilient conflict environment that paradoxically bolsters regime morale while facing an estimated 80% domestic opposition. The death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has accelerated a structural transition from religious theocracy to a pragmatic IRGC-dominated junta, characterized by the leadership of General Vahidi and the constrained influence of President Masoud Peseshkian. Analysts suggest that while the regime survives its "death throes" due to internal security crackdowns and limited Western intervention options, its long-term viability remains critically low given the population's desire for an end to theocratic rule and the potential for a successor-driven transition.

The Iran war will cause inflation to surge | The Economist

Josh Roberts, Jason

The escalation of conflict in Iran has triggered a surge in oil prices that threatens to transmit inflationary pressure globally through energy costs and critical fertilizer shortages at the Strait of Hormuz. Central bankers face a complex dilemma balancing the risk of a historical wage-price spiral against the potential for economic stagnation, while navigating political pressure to lower rates despite IMF forecasts predicting a two percentage point inflation jump. This crisis compels immediate policy intervention to prevent a permanent structural shift in inflation expectations, mirroring the cautionary precedents of the 1970s and recent cumulative global shocks.

Tucker Carlson on whether Trump betrayed America First over the Iran war | The Economist

Tucker Carlson, Trump, Zanny Minton Beddoes

In a recent address, the speaker argues that the United States was misled into war by Israeli lobbying and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's pressure, specifically criticizing the failure of Presidents Trump and George W. Bush to prioritize American national interests. While condemning the October 7 attacks, the speaker characterizes the resulting conflict in Gaza as a humanitarian and strategic disaster for both populations, asserting that the war contradicts the "America First" platform and is driven by flawed regime-change motives regarding Iran. The presentation further notes a rapidly declining public support for Israel across all US political demographics and advocates for universally applicable human rights over collective punishment or the "right to exist" doctrine.

Britain’s chancellor: closer relations with the EU are in our national interest

Rachel Reeves, Rachana Shanbhogue

The UK government has formalized a strategy for broader regulatory alignment with the EU to unlock an estimated 8% GDP boost, moving beyond previous sectoral deals in areas like food and energy to mitigate isolation risks from global protectionism. Led by the Chancellor and recently discussed with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, this approach prioritizes functional market integration while explicitly rejecting a return to the EU or Customs Union to avoid political division. European partners have welcomed these concrete commitments, viewing the UK's shift as a pragmatic step toward shared economic growth and security that leverages the nation's position as a G7 growth leader.

Why are Iranian drones so deadly? | The Economist

Shashank Joshi, Rosie Blau

Russia has adapted Iranian Shaheed drones into low-cost Geran munitions, creating a strategic challenge by outpacing traditional missile interceptors with volume and maneuverability. To counter this, Ukraine is exporting its operational expertise in FPV interceptor drones to Gulf states, offering technology transfers in exchange for defense investments and pressure on Western partners to supply high-end interceptors. This emerging alliance leverages Ukrainian successes in air and maritime defense to offset the economic imbalance of Russia's drone swarm tactics while reshaping regional security dynamics.