Nov 6, 2026, 6:47 AM ETHealthcare
Moderna — Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Summary
Financial Performance
- Total revenue for Q3 2026 increased 29% year-over-year to $1.3 billion, compared to $1.0 billion in Q3 2025.
- U.S. revenue was $780 million and international revenue was $533 million for the quarter.
- GAAP net income was $162 million for Q3 2026, a $362 million improvement compared to a net loss of $200 million in Q3 2025.
- GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.38 for Q3 2026, compared to a loss of $0.51 per share in Q3 2025.
- Cost of sales for Q3 2026 was $318 million, a 54% increase from the prior year period, including $65 million in third-party royalties.
- Research and development (R&D) expenses for Q3 2026 were $583 million, a 27% decrease year-over-year.
- Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses for Q3 2026 were $282 million, a 5% increase year-over-year.
- Cash, cash equivalents, and investments stood at $8.0 billion as of September 30, 2026, up from $6.9 billion as of June 30, 2026.
- Convertible notes outstanding were $2.958 billion as of September 30, 2026, compared to zero in the prior year.
- Deferred revenue increased to $407 million total ($268 million current, $139 million non-current) as of September 30, 2026, from $252 million total in December 2025.
Guidance and Future Outlook
- Full-year 2026 revenue growth is now expected to be 15%–25%, an increase from the previous outlook of up to 10%.
- The company expects approximately half of 2026 revenue to originate from the U.S. and half from international markets.
- 2026 Cost of Sales is expected to be approximately $1.7 billion, including a $0.9 billion non-recurring litigation settlement charge.
- 2026 R&D expenses are expected to be approximately $2.7 billion, a reduction from the previous estimate of $2.9 billion.
- 2026 SG&A expenses are expected to be approximately $1.0 billion, unchanged from the previous forecast.
- 2026 Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $0.2 billion, improved from a previous range of $0.2 billion to $0.3 billion.
- Year-end 2026 cash and investments are now expected to be $8.1 billion to $8.3 billion, up from a previous outlook of $4.7 billion to $5.2 billion.
- The company anticipates additional intismeran readouts, pivotal data in propionic acidemia, and further regulatory approvals in the future.
Business Segments and Product Lines
- Revenue growth was primarily driven by higher COVID vaccine sales in international markets supported by long-term strategic government partnerships.
- mFLUSIVA (seasonal influenza vaccine) received U.S. FDA approval for adults aged 50–64 and accelerated approval for adults 65+, marking the company's fifth globally approved product.
- mFLUSIVA received approval in Canada; a limited U.S. launch is planned for the 2026–2027 influenza season.
- mCOFLU (flu/COVID combination vaccine) received regulatory approval in Canada and is under review in Japan, the UK, and Australia.
- Intismeran autogene (mRNA-4157) presented positive Phase 3 results in resected high-risk melanoma, reducing the risk of recurrence or death by 42% compared to KEYTRUDA alone.
- Moderna and Merck are preparing for regulatory submissions and a potential commercial launch of intismeran.
- The Norovirus vaccine (mRNA-1403) Phase 3 interim analysis did not meet statistical criteria for early success; no additional cohort will be initiated this season.
- Propionic acidemia (mRNA-3927) registrational study reached target enrollment with pivotal data expected in 2026.
- A five-year agreement was signed in September with a local manufacturer in Mexico for COVID-19 vaccines.
Market and Competitive Landscape
- The company executed international strategic partnerships with the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia.
- Moderna continues to maintain a global valuation allowance against most deferred tax assets, resulting in negligible income tax provisions.
- The company is advancing a diversified pipeline across infectious diseases, oncology, and rare diseases.
Risks and Challenges
- The Norovirus vaccine program (mRNA-1403) did not meet Phase 3 interim success criteria, requiring engagement with health authorities to determine the path forward.
- The company faces pending regulatory reviews for mCOFLU in the United States and other markets.
- Methylmalonic Acidemia (mRNA-3705) pivotal study initiation is deferred pending the propionic acidemia readout.
- Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations, including regulatory approval timelines and clinical trial outcomes.
Management Commentary and Tone
- CEO Stéphane Bancel stated the company delivered 29% revenue growth alongside the approval of mFLUSIVA and positive Phase 3 data for intismeran.
- Management highlighted a strategy of increasing revenue growth outlook while reducing costs and strengthening the balance sheet.
- The tone reflects confidence in building a more diversified company through pipeline advancement and regulatory approvals.
Other Key Points
- In September, Moderna completed a convertible senior notes offering totaling $3.0 billion in principal, raising approximately $2.6 billion in net proceeds after capped call transactions.
- A litigation settlement with GSK was announced on October 28, 2026, involving patent cross-licenses in the field of infectious disease with no payment obligations.
- Juan Andres was appointed Chief Operating Officer effective October 5, 2026, overseeing operational strategy and global manufacturing.
- Jerh Collins, Ph.D., retired as Chief Technical Operations and Quality Officer in September after four years with the company.
- Moderna was named to Fortune's 2026 Change the World list and recognized as a top employer in Science and Science Careers' 2026 Top Employers Survey for the twelfth consecutive year.
- The company will host an Analyst Day on November 12, 2026.