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Nov 5, 2026, 4:14 PM ETEnergy

Northern Oil and Gas — Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Summary

NOGNORTHERN OIL & GAS INC
Source

Financial Performance

  • Oil and natural gas sales totaled $697.7 million for the quarter.
  • GAAP net loss was $111.8 million ($1.06 per diluted share), driven by non-cash mark-to-market losses on derivatives.
  • Adjusted Net Income was $142.2 million ($1.32 per adjusted diluted share), up from $101.8 million in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $444.5 million, an 11% increase from the second quarter of 2026 and up from $387.1 million in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Cash flow from operations was $397.7 million, compared to $321.6 million in the second quarter of 2026.
  • Free Cash Flow generated was $148.6 million, a 25.0% increase from the third quarter of 2025.
  • Lease operating expenses were $143.5 million ($9.98 per Boe), 2% higher per unit than the third quarter of 2025.
  • Production taxes were $48.3 million, compared to $28.7 million in the third quarter of 2025.
  • General and administrative costs were $18.0 million ($1.25 per Boe), compared to $1.17 per Boe in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Adjusted cash G&A was $12.6 million ($0.88 per Boe), down $0.06 per Boe from the second quarter of 2026.
  • Net debt-to-annualized Adjusted EBITDA ratio was 1.47 times, down from previous levels.

Guidance and Future Outlook

  • Raised 2026 annual production guidance to 147,000–150,000 Boepd, up from the previous range of 143,000–148,000 Boepd.
  • Maintained 2026 total budgeted capital expenditures guidance at $850–$900 million.
  • Adjusted 2026 LOE/Production Expenses guidance to $9.75–$9.85 per Boe (previously $9.70–$9.80).
  • Adjusted 2026 Production Taxes guidance to 7.00%–7.25% of Oil & Gas Sales (previously 7.5%–8.0%).
  • Adjusted 2026 Oil Differential guidance to ($4.00)–($4.50) per Bbl (previously ($5.00)–($5.40)).
  • Adjusted 2026 Gas Realization guidance to 77.5%–82.5% of NYMEX Henry Hub (previously 70.0%–75.0%).
  • Adjusted 2026 Cash G&A guidance to $0.85–$0.90 per Boe (previously $0.83–$0.86).
  • Expects capital expenditures to trend toward the high-end of the range based on current activity levels.

Business Segments and Product Lines

  • Record quarterly production of 156,239 Boe per day, a 19% increase from the third quarter of 2025 and a 7.3% increase from the second quarter of 2026.
  • Record natural gas production of 488,391 Mcf per day, a 39% increase from the third quarter of 2025 and a 5.2% increase from the second quarter of 2026.
  • Oil production averaged 74,837 Bbls per day, representing 48% of total production.
  • Appalachian volumes set a new production record, with joint development programs in West Virginia outperforming and Utica activity accelerating.
  • Uinta Assets continued to outperform internal estimates on legacy production and the 2026 development program.
  • Completed 19 Ground Game transactions adding over 1,060 net acres and 2.9 net wells for $56.5 million.
  • Added 23.9 net wells to production during the quarter, compared to 12.7 in the second quarter of 2026.
  • Year-to-date additions totaled 53.7 net wells.
  • Net producing wells at period end were 1,391.2, an 18% increase from the prior year.

Market and Competitive Landscape

  • Unhedged net realized oil price was $82.83 per Bbl, a 36% increase from $61.08 in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Unhedged net realized gas price was $2.84 per Mcf, a 13% increase from $2.52 in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Average differential to WTI prices was $2.84, improving 27% from the third quarter of 2025.
  • Natural gas realizations improved meaningfully year-to-date as Waha pricing normalized.
  • NGL realizations continue to show strength.
  • The company is the largest publicly traded dedicated non-operator in the United States.

Risks and Challenges

  • Recorded a non-cash unrealized mark-to-market loss on derivatives of approximately $308.0 million.
  • Realized hedge losses were $51.4 million as gains on natural gas hedges were offset by losses on crude oil hedges.
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to risks including changes in crude oil and natural gas prices, infrastructure constraints, economic conditions, supply chain disruptions, and regulatory changes.
  • Specific risks include the potential impact of the Dakota Access Pipeline shutdown, legal disputes, and the effects of the Convertible Notes due 2029.

Management Commentary and Tone

  • CEO Nick O'Grady stated the third quarter was a record, noting that assets are self-funding growth and generating substantial excess cash.
  • Management highlighted cutting total debt by more than $100 million and achieving a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 1.5x a quarter ahead of the year-end goal.
  • Management expressed confidence that shares trade at a deep discount to asset value, viewing this as an opportunity rather than a setback.
  • The company described itself as "run by investors, for investors" with the intent to keep delivering record results.
  • Management noted that with every region performing, they are raising guidance while holding the capital budget unchanged.

Other Key Points

  • Issued $500 million of 7.5% Senior Notes due in 2034 in an oversubscribed offering.
  • Retired over $100 million of total debt.
  • Repurchased 667,989 shares of common stock at an average price of $23.96.
  • Board authorized a $150.0 million increase to the stock repurchase program in July 2026, bringing total capacity to approximately $227.2 million as of September 30, 2026.
  • Declared a cash dividend of $0.45 per share in August 2026 (paid October 30, 2026) and another $0.45 per share in November 2026 (payable January 29, 2027).
  • Total liquidity was $1.6 billion as of September 30, 2026, consisting of $1.577 billion in borrowing availability and $26.4 million in cash.
  • Weighted average debt maturity is 5.3 years, with the earliest maturity not until 2029.
  • Completed semi-annual borrowing base redetermination in November, keeping the elected commitment at $1.8 billion and borrowing base at $1.975 billion.
  • Normalized well costs improved 2.9% quarter-over-quarter to approximately $739 per lateral foot.
  • Capital expenditure breakdown: Williston Basin (33%), Permian (31%), Appalachian (16%), Duvernay (11%), and Uinta (9%).