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Sep 28, 2026, 4:06 PM ETConsumer Cyclical

Vail Resorts — Fiscal 2026 Earnings Summary

MTNVAIL RESORTS INC
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Financial Performance

  • Net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. for fiscal 2026 was $147.5 million, a decrease from $280.0 million in the prior year.
  • Resort Reported EBITDA for fiscal 2026 was $745.7 million, a decrease of 11.7% from $844.1 million in the prior year; this includes $11 million of one-time costs related to the resource efficiency transformation plan.
  • Resort Net Revenue for fiscal 2026 decreased $131.9 million (4.5%) to $2.832 billion compared to the prior year.
  • Total lift revenue declined 3.5% for the year, while pass revenue increased 3.9%.
  • Total skier visits decreased 13.4% to 15.3 million for the full year.
  • As of July 31, 2026, total liquidity (cash, short-term investments, and revolver availability) was approximately $0.8 billion.
  • Net Debt was 3.9 times trailing twelve months Total Reported EBITDA as of July 31, 2026.
  • Total debt was $3.186 billion, with long-term debt net at $3.102 billion and debt due within one year at $83.9 million.
  • Cash and cash equivalents were $231.3 million, and short-term certificates of deposit were $37.1 million.
  • Stock-based compensation for the full year was $28.2 million.

Guidance and Future Outlook

  • Fiscal 2027 guidance for net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. is $158 million to $233 million.
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance for Resort Reported EBITDA is $805 million to $865 million, including approximately $14 million of one-time costs.
  • At the midpoint of guidance, the estimated Resort EBITDA margin is 26.9% (27.3% excluding one-time costs).
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes a meaningful recovery from fiscal 2026 weather impacts, supported by increased lift ticket visitation, pricing growth, and ancillary spending.
  • The outlook includes approximately $25 million of incremental efficiencies from the resource efficiency transformation plan.
  • Guidance assumes normal weather conditions for the 2026/2027 North American and European ski seasons and the 2027 Australian ski season.
  • Guidance assumes foreign currency exchange rates of $0.71 CAD/USD, $0.70 AUD/USD, and $1.21 CHF/USD.
  • The outlook assumes visitation is modestly lower than fiscal 2026, with overall lift revenue flat due to pricing and product optimization.
  • Fiscal 2027 guidance assumes normalization of operating expenses, inflationary pressures, and additional strategic investments.

Business Segments and Product Lines

  • Mountain Segment: Net revenue decreased 4.8% to $2.503 billion; Mountain Reported EBITDA decreased 11.2% to $729.4 million.
  • Lodging Segment: Net revenue decreased 1.6% to $328.8 million; Lodging Reported EBITDA decreased 28.4% to $16.3 million.
  • Real Estate Segment: Net revenue increased to $6.2 million; Real Estate Reported EBITDA decreased to $7.4 million.
  • Pass product unit sales for the upcoming 2026/2027 North American ski season decreased approximately 12% through September 18, 2026.
  • Pass product days sold decreased approximately 10% and sales dollars decreased approximately 6% for the same period.
  • Demand weakness was concentrated in Destination frequency products, particularly lower frequency passes, while unlimited pass products showed relative strength.
  • The Company announced the "Epic Experience" growth strategy to differentiate the guest experience and drive loyalty.
  • The Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan is on track to deliver $25 million of incremental efficiencies in fiscal 2027, aiming for $110 million of annualized cost efficiencies by the end of fiscal 2027.
  • Capital investment plans for calendar 2026 include $215 million to $220 million in core capital and $229 million to $234 million including growth capital.
  • Planned 2027 capital investments include significant lift upgrades at Park City Mountain, including replacing the Silverlode lift with an eight-passenger detachable chairlift and the Eagle/Eaglet lifts with a six-passenger detachable chairlift.

Market and Competitive Landscape

  • Fiscal 2026 was described as one of the most challenging winters in history for the western U.S. ski industry due to historic lows in snowfall and snowpack.
  • Australian results were below expectations due to cumulative snowfall approximately 57% below the 10-year average.
  • Third-party data indicates Vail Resorts is outperforming the broader industry, especially among comparable unlimited products.
  • The Company believes pass unit declines reflect delayed purchase behavior among less committed guests rather than fully lost demand.
  • The Company is investing in marketing, channel strategies, branding, and product optimization to drive visitation.

Risks and Challenges

  • Unfavorable weather conditions and climate change impacts continue to pose significant risks to visitation and revenue.
  • Inflationary pressures and increased marketing investments may offset revenue growth and savings.
  • Foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations could impact results, particularly for operations in Canada, Australia, and Switzerland.
  • The business faces high fixed costs and seasonality risks.
  • Potential risks include disruptions in travel, supply chains, or information technology systems.

Management Commentary and Tone

  • Rob Katz, CEO, characterized the past winter as the most difficult weather environment the company has ever experienced.
  • Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business model, citing advanced commitment models and cost discipline.
  • The tone highlighted encouraging signs for the future, including record guest satisfaction scores and strong employee engagement.
  • Management noted the acceleration of leadership changes, including a new CEO, Chief Revenue Officer, and independent board member.
  • The Company believes its strategies, including the Epic Experience and resource efficiency plan, provide a clear roadmap for growth.

Other Key Points

  • The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $2.22 per share, payable on October 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of October 8, 2026.
  • The Company incurred $11 million of one-time costs related to the resource efficiency transformation plan in fiscal 2026.
  • The Company expects to incur approximately $14 million in associated one-time costs in fiscal 2027.
  • The Company reaffirmed its long-term capital investment guidance and plans to provide the full calendar year 2027 capital investment plan in December 2026.
  • The Company is accelerating the realization of $5 million in savings from the resource efficiency transformation plan, previously expected for fiscal 2028.