Latest Interviews
Showing 1–6 of 6 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs20 min
Can Markets Withstand AI Risks, Fed Hikes, and Oil Shocks?
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson
Dominic and Josh analyze how supply shortages in AI infrastructure and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are creating a complex investment environment driven by oil market friction and Federal Reserve policy shifts. While the S&P 500 remains near record highs, the duo warns that diverging market performance from lived economic reality, combined with intensifying inflation pressures and a move away from central bank guidance, signals potential volatility ahead. Consequently, they highlight a strategic pivot toward the long end of the yield curve and credit markets, suggesting that concentrated asset exposure is prudent as liquidity is expected to thin in the coming months.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Iran Ceasefire: What’s next for markets?
Tony Pasquariello, Joshua Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson, Josh
Markets have transitioned into a post-ceasefire phase where equity drawdowns were capped near 10% and earnings growth remains robust, despite oil prices shifting to a permanent $78–$80 level that creates a new inflation baseline. Central banks now face a dual mandate dilemma that likely forces policy stasis, while hedge funds outperformed traditional portfolios by capitalizing on AI-driven CapEx and commodity-exposed emerging markets. Strategic allocations favor maintaining downside hedges and holding core assets like the Nasdaq and U.S. dollar as geopolitical realignments in the Gulf States and U.S.-China relations drive continued volatility through year-end.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Repricing risks post tariff truce
Tony Pasquarello, Dominic Wilson, Josh Shiffrin
A panel of analysts forecasts a low but non-zero recession risk while projecting 1% growth amid a "higher inflation, lower growth" environment driven by effective tariff rates of 12% to 13%. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in 2025 if unemployment exceeds 4.5%, potentially ushering in a dovish regime that supports equities despite narrow paths constrained by bond market volatility and deficit concerns. While U.S. dollar depreciation may cushion equity performance, the discussion concludes with a cultural segment where Josh Shiffrin and Dominic Wilson critique the narrative outcomes of *Lost*, *The Shining*, and *The Departed*.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Is the market underpricing recession risks?
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Dominic Wilson
Following a pause on reciprocal tariffs that reduced immediate policy risk, analysts warn that recession fears remain significant and underpriced despite recent market rallies. While the U.S. dollar is entering a projected structural bear market over the next 6–12 months and oil faces downward pressure from disinflationary tariffs, equity volatility is expected to persist until clear trade outcomes emerge. Federal Reserve rate cuts will likely wait until deep financial stress or labor market cracks appear, with Chair Powell emphasizing the need to avoid unanchoring inflation expectations before acting aggressively.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Markets post-Fed: Inflation back in focus
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Don Wilson
The Federal Reserve concluded its initial easing cycle with a 25 basis point rate cut while signaling a shift to a cautious, data-dependent Phase Two that prioritizes inflation progress toward the 2% target. Economists and strategists project 2 to 3 additional cuts in 2025 contingent on cooling price pressures, though markets face binary volatility driven by upcoming tariff announcements and leadership transitions. While underlying inflationary risks in housing moderate and the Fed Put provides downside support, equity performance will increasingly rely on corporate earnings rather than anticipated policy support in the post-election landscape.
- Goldman Sachs29 min
Goldman Sachs Economists on EU Capital Markets Union: Talks at GS Session Highlights
Huw Pill, Jim Esposito, Philippe Ithurbide, William Wright
As European economies transition from crisis management to long-term structural growth, a strategic push is underway to establish a Capital Markets Union that diversifies funding beyond the banking sector. This initiative targets critical barriers such as fragmented exchange infrastructure, inconsistent insolvency laws, and information asymmetries that currently hinder SME access to public markets. Panelists recommend immediate regulatory harmonization and technology-driven standardization to unlock deep pools of long-term capital, ensuring that medium-sized enterprises and infrastructure projects can secure sustainable financing.