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OpenAI, SBF & Perplexity: What VCs Know That You Don’t

SBF, Rory O'Driscoll, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings

Venture capital dynamics have shifted toward extreme concentration and speed, with firms like Sequoia and Tiger Global prioritizing massive stakes in high-conviction AI winners such as OpenAI and Scale AI to offset broader portfolio losses. Simultaneously, corporate strategies are evolving from hyperbolic job replacement rhetoric to gradual operational integration, as companies like Microsoft and Klarna balance aggressive automation goals with the reality of retaining human oversight for complex tasks. This environment is characterized by a contraction in early-stage funding that demands hard traction, while retail access expands through new vehicles despite lingering risks regarding valuation bubbles and liquidity constraints.