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  1. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Can US equities rally again?

    John Flood, Chris Hussey

    Market strategist John Flood identifies April 2nd as a critical clearing event poised to unlock trading activity from frozen hedge funds and asset managers following a March sell-off that targeted recent U.S. positions in financials and industrials. This anticipated catalyst coincides with a potential $25 billion pension rebalancing flow and a compressed buyback blackout for corporations, while investor sentiment shifts as retail re-engagement and potential CTA short-covering create upward momentum toward the S&P 500's 200-day moving average. Despite ongoing risks from upcoming tariff announcements and overvalued consumer staples, Flood maintains an optimistic outlook that the market's highest velocity de-risking is complete, leaving risk skewed to the upside.

  2. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Is the big tech trade over?

    Ben Snider, Chris Hussey

    The S&P 500 recently declined 5% following a year-end rally, driven by reassessments of mega-cap valuations amid shifting inflation data and skepticism over AI profitability. Goldman Sachs analysts characterize this correction as a market rotation where capital is flowing from large-cap tech stocks to small-cap equities, a divergence that benefits smaller companies anticipating interest rate cuts. Despite the drop, the firm maintains a positive outlook, citing robust earnings and historical precedents where similar market dips often result in higher valuations within three months.