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Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century

Holden Karnofsky

GiveWell co-founder Holden Karnofsky argues that this century represents the most significant in human history due to the high probability of developing transformative AI capable of compressing thousands of years of progress into a short timeframe. He asserts that while such a shift offers the potential for a post-scarcity future, it carries the risk of creating a dystopian lock-in if AI systems remain misaligned with human moral frameworks. Consequently, Karnofsky's organization, Open Philanthropy, now prioritizes funding AI alignment research and speculative long-term work to navigate these unprecedented stakes while maintaining ethical rigor.