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Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs23 min
Why the Fed’s Hawkish Turn Could Support the AI Boom
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson
New Federal Reserve Chair Warsh signaled a data-dependent approach focused on price stability while the committee's uncertain dot plot and absence of forward guidance prompted a hawkish market reaction. Panelists interpret current conditions as a mid-cycle adjustment driven by falling oil prices from geopolitical shifts and resilient AI-driven equity momentum rather than impending recession. This unique environment, characterized by rapid narrative shifts and robust capital absorption, suggests a high-velocity economic landscape distinct from the stagnation of previous years.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Will the Fed cut rates in December?
Analysts project a tight December Federal Reserve decision amid data gaps from the government shutdown, while market volatility reflects a recalibration of the AI growth narrative and a corporate shift toward leveraging debt. Corporate sentiment signals an inflection point in capital allocation as hyperscalers increase borrowing and reduce headcounts to chase AI efficiency, echoing historical leverage cycles. Simultaneously, geopolitical shifts and unexpected policy output from the 2025 administration are reshaping global trade flows and currency trends despite persistent inflationary stickiness.