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  1. 80,000 Hours35 min

    Highlights: Carl Shulman on the economy and national security after AGI

    Carl Shulman, Rob Wiblin

    Carl Schulman argues that advanced AI will soon replace human nannies and labor through superior cost-efficiency, continuous availability, and optimized developmental outcomes, effectively dismantling the economic viability of human childcare. Projections suggest that harnessing solar energy could enable each person to command billions of dollars worth of cognitive labor, scaling global industrial capacity by orders of magnitude while bypassing historical growth limitations. Although skeptics question the impact of regulatory hurdles and diminishing returns, Schulman contends that massive productivity gains will drive resource abundance and redistribution mechanisms sufficient to guarantee billionaire-level living standards for all.