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Stanford MS&E435 Economics of the AI Supercycle | Spring 2026 | Building AI Factories

Chase Lochmiller, Apoorv Agrawal

Hyperscalers are pouring capital into AI infrastructure that rivals historic U.S. projects, driven by a shift in bottlenecks from chip availability to securing powered shells and skilled labor. In Abilene, Texas, Crusoe is deploying a 2.1-gigawatt campus hosting tenants like Oracle and OpenAI, where rapid construction faces significant wage inflation due to a scarcity of tradespeople and tripling costs for power equipment. While traditional hardware risks obsolescence, the economic model shows accelerated returns as managed services can halve the payback period to two years, even as the sector grapples with future challenges in labor supply and open-source competition.