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  1. Goldman Sachs12 min

    Oil Market Impacts from Venezuela

    Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan

    Following the U.S. capture of President Maduro and the installation of an interim government, Venezuela's political transition has triggered a muted market reaction while positioning heavy crude supply for potential growth through 2030. Goldman Sachs projects that increased U.S. reinvestment could boost daily output from 800,000 to 2 million barrels, creating symmetrical short-term volatility but ultimately depressing global prices by approximately $4 by the end of the decade. Concurrently, the geopolitical fracture has driven gold prices up nearly 3% as major powers compete for commodity dominance, with U.S. refiners and energy firms poised to capitalize on the realignment of heavy crude flows toward the West.

  2. Goldman Sachs22 min

    Oil’s extended reign? Adapting to a new era in oil markets

    Daan Struyven, Nikhil Bhandari, Alison Nathan, Dan Stroivin

    Goldman Sachs projects global oil demand will peak around 2034 rather than 2024, driven by emerging market growth in India and China where jet fuel and petrochemical consumption continue to rise despite stagnating EV sales in developed economies. The bank forecasts Brent crude to trade between $75 and $90 per barrel through 2026, supported by OPEC spare capacity, before supply risks intensify in the latter half of the decade due to underinvestment in long-cycle projects and structural tightness in the refining sector. Political outcomes in the 2024 US election may further influence prices through potential sanctions on Iran or changes to EV incentives, with the firm recommending gold over oil as a primary hedge against policy-driven inflation.

  3. Goldman Sachs10 min

    The future of the energy industry: Goldman Sachs leaders discuss

    Neil Mehta, Sarah Kiernan, Daan Struyven, Don

    Global oil demand surged to a record high in 2023 and is projected to reach 107 million barrels per day by the end of the decade, driven by emerging market growth and a post-pandemic travel rebound despite a historical investment deficit. As the energy transition introduces market volatility through intermittent renewable generation and rising capital costs, major oil and gas producers are pivoting toward decarbonization strategies like hydrogen development and carbon capture rather than entering the utility sector. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs' commodities division is supporting clients by managing price risk exposure and facilitating access to capital markets for these evolving energy projects.