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Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs20 min
Can Markets Withstand AI Risks, Fed Hikes, and Oil Shocks?
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson
Dominic and Josh analyze how supply shortages in AI infrastructure and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are creating a complex investment environment driven by oil market friction and Federal Reserve policy shifts. While the S&P 500 remains near record highs, the duo warns that diverging market performance from lived economic reality, combined with intensifying inflation pressures and a move away from central bank guidance, signals potential volatility ahead. Consequently, they highlight a strategic pivot toward the long end of the yield curve and credit markets, suggesting that concentrated asset exposure is prudent as liquidity is expected to thin in the coming months.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Iran Ceasefire: What’s next for markets?
Tony Pasquariello, Joshua Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson, Josh
Markets have transitioned into a post-ceasefire phase where equity drawdowns were capped near 10% and earnings growth remains robust, despite oil prices shifting to a permanent $78–$80 level that creates a new inflation baseline. Central banks now face a dual mandate dilemma that likely forces policy stasis, while hedge funds outperformed traditional portfolios by capitalizing on AI-driven CapEx and commodity-exposed emerging markets. Strategic allocations favor maintaining downside hedges and holding core assets like the Nasdaq and U.S. dollar as geopolitical realignments in the Gulf States and U.S.-China relations drive continued volatility through year-end.