Conference Presentation, Panel, Fireside Chat
Activist Investors: Unlocking Value
Milken InstituteJustin Baer, Alex Denner, Ana Marshall, Ronald O'Hanley, Alex Roepers, Jeffrey Ubben
Panelist Profiles & Firm Capacities:
- Jeffrey Ubin (Value Act Capital): Founded 2000; focuses on constructive engagement in public markets.
- Alex Ropers (Atlantic Investment Management): Founder/CIO; established 1988; former tenure with conglomerates; emphasizes "soft" activism and long-term liquidity.
- Anna Marshall (Hewlett Foundation): VP/CFO; manages a $9 billion endowment; prioritizes organizational change over transactional "quick fixes."
- Ronald Hanley (State Street Global Advisors): President/CMO; firm manages nearly $2.5 trillion; views passive indexers as "permanent capital."
- Alex Denner (Sarissa Capital Management): Founding Partner/CIO; founded 2012; former Icahn Capital; focuses on healthcare and operational turnarounds.
Evolution of Activism & Market Structure:
- Proxy contests dropped to approximately two per year between 1996 and 2002 due to mutual fund dominance and lack of owner-board dialogue.
- The rise of passive investing (ETFs/index funds) has created a landscape of "non-thinking shareholders," exemplified by a recent Harman Technologies meeting where only three shareholders attended an $8 billion company's final meeting against a Samsung deal.
- Post-2008 financial crisis, index managers (State Street, Vanguard, BlackRock) increased stewardship engagement due to the permanence of their capital and inability to simply divest from index constituents.
- Alex Ropers argues that as 90% of assets become passive, active activism is required to correct principal-agent issues and prevent under-managed companies.
Investment Strategies & Definitions:
- Anna Marshall distinguishes between "transactional" activism (balance sheet restructuring, special dividends) and "sustainable" activism (organizational process changes, capital allocation optimization).
- Alex Denner notes that 95% of activist hedge funds utilize "one-year money," making operational turnarounds difficult; he advocates for "five-year money" structures akin to private equity.
- Alex Ropers rejects "hit-and-run" tactics, maintaining a "high road" approach but utilizing the threat of board escalation (copying letters to the board) to force CEO/Board engagement without immediate public conflict.
- Jeffrey Ubin defines activism strictly as a tool for concentrated investors to enhance and accelerate share value through direct constructive engagement.
Governance Dynamics & Board Interactions:
- The "Nuclear Option": Jeffrey Ubin cites the CSX campaign where a 4.9% shareholder effectively usurped board authority to install a successor CEO, raising concerns that companies may remain private longer to avoid such "hijacking" by short-term investors.
- Board Tenure & Impact: Alex Denner's tenure at Ariad Pharmaceuticals (2012–2015) took over three years, involving a board overhaul, CEO replacement, and the sale of a massive HQ building to sublet.
- CEO Recruitment: Some CEOs actively invite activists onto boards to bypass internal resistance and secure "free consulting" for difficult strategic pivots.
- Conflict Avoidance: Sarissa Capital management notes that while they have removed CEOs, they prefer to depersonalize conflict by using data and the "Socratic method" in boardrooms rather than public mudslinging.
Institutional Feedback & Advisor Ecosystem:
- State Street and Vanguard often own 20%+ of target companies; activists frequently contact them, but State Street warns against campaigns that prioritize short-term hits over long-term value creation.
- Investment banks have developed a lucrative "activist defense" advisory industry; Anna Marshall and others note a symbiotic relationship where bankers generate fees regardless of the outcome.
- The decline of high-quality street research post-Reg FD has forced boards to rely more on specialized activist advisors for independent analysis.
- A rare instance of hostile management response occurred when a CEO sent an unauthorized letter and soccer ball to an activist; the activist interpreted it as a threat, and the CEO was subsequently fired, highlighting the risks of personal confrontation.
Future Frontiers & Geopolitical Challenges:
- ESG & Climate: State Street identifies climate change and governance processes as the next frontier, focusing on board-level accountability for risk management rather than mandating specific actions.
- Japan: Alex Ropers identifies Japan as a key market where "fear and greed" incentives fail due to lack of board accountability; successful approaches require respectful, behind-the-scenes engagement.
- China: Alex Ropers dismisses China as a current opportunity, estimating a 10-year timeline before activism can succeed there.
- Portfolio Construction: Anna Marshall warns that asset allocators must evaluate the consistency of return series and the ability of managers to size positions correctly to avoid "lumpy" returns and liquidity traps.