Panel, Conference Presentation
Addressing the Financial Headwinds Faced by Gen Z and Millennials | Global Conference 2025
Milken InstituteCheryl Evans, Kahlil Byrd, Catherine Collinson, Alexis Crow, Dorothy Kelly, Sylvia Kwan, Dot Kelly
Macro Economic Headwinds and Structural Shifts
- Advanced economies are experiencing a structural shift from manufacturing to services, resulting in a declining "pie" of overall economic growth and a shrinking labor share of income.
- Intergenerational mobility (social escalator) has eroded; data indicates it is increasingly unlikely for individuals born into the bottom income quintile to reach the top two quintiles.
- Wealth inequality in the United States is pronounced, with Baby Boomers holding 65% of total wealth compared to just 13% held by Millennials and Gen Z.
- The gap between the cost of homeownership and renting has reached historic highs in the U.S., driven by insurance, maintenance, and financing costs, though 38% of assets for those under 40 remain in real estate.
- Global asset allocation questions are rising, with investors debating geographical exposure (e.g., Brazilian bonds vs. Japanese yields) and the impact of geopolitical friction on trade and growth.
Generational Financial Vulnerabilities
- Gen Z and Millennials have not fully recovered from the economic shocks of the 2008 Great Recession and the pandemic, leading to heightened employment setbacks and financial instability.
- The U.S. holds $1.7 trillion in student loan debt, with Gen Z and Millennials holding 35% of that burden; the average debt load has risen from $30,000 to approximately $40,000.
- Currently, 5 million student loan borrowers are in default, a number expected to jump to 10–15 million within the next three to six months as payment accommodations expire.
- 85% of Gen Z and Millennial financial decisions are influenced by their student loan balance, creating a "shame cycle" where older borrowers (30s and 40s) become less likely to discuss debt openly.
- Credit card delinquencies in the United States are at record highs, with the Philadelphia Fed reporting a spike in default rates, though total debt servicing remains at ~11% of disposable income.
Workforce Dynamics and Career Evolution
- The "job for life" model has ended; employers report that 90% plan to implement AI or robotics within the next few years, transforming existing roles, creating new ones, and eliminating others.
- Millennials and Gen Z are the primary demographic serving as caregivers, with 80% having made employment adjustments (including quitting jobs or missing work) to care for aging parents or grandparents.
- Gen Z demonstrates a strong work ethic, with more than half holding side hustles and a second job, contradicting stereotypes of a lack of work ethic.
- The "care economy" involves significant unpaid labor by women; saving just one hour of this unpaid labor per week could theoretically add $1 trillion to global GDP.
- Employers are struggling to meet workforce development needs, with many lacking the resources to train employees on new technologies like AI.
Financial Education and Trust Deficits
- Younger generations (Gen Z/Millennials) prefer seeking financial advice via social media and influencers over traditional financial professionals or friends and family.
- There is a documented distrust of the financial industry among younger generations, stemming from the 2008 crisis and perceived industry failures.
- Financial literacy education is showing positive ripple effects; students taking non-major finance courses report increased confidence in navigating 401(k)s, health insurance, and tax forms upon entering the workforce.
- There is a rising prevalence of risky financial behaviors among college students, particularly online betting, which poses significant risks to those with low financial fluency.
- Women hold 70% of their portfolios in cash on average, failing to invest despite living longer than men, which creates significant longevity risk.
Strategies for Wealth Building and Industry Responses
- Experts advocate for a dual approach to debt: addressing debt while simultaneously saving for the future, leveraging time and compound interest as critical allies.
- The concept of "productive debt" is gaining traction, distinguishing between debt that builds human capital (education) or assets (homeownership) versus debt that does not.
- The "Great Wealth Transfer" from Baby Boomers to younger generations is underway, with women positioned to receive the bulk of these inheritances due to longer life expectancies.
- Financial institutions are shifting toward personalization and values-based investing, offering platforms that allow younger investors to align returns with social impact.
- Employer-led initiatives (e.g., SURE and Edward Jones partnerships) are emerging to integrate student loan repayment support into the workplace, aiming to destigmatize debt and facilitate earlier wealth-building conversations.
- Global savings rates contrast sharply; China's household savings rate is 36% compared to the U.S., providing greater "dry powder" for future economic shocks.
Forward-Looking Statements and Expert Advice
- Khalil Bird: Immediate policy intervention is required to connect student loan repayment with wealth-building behaviors to prevent long-term financial injury for 30 million returning borrowers.
- Catherine Collinson: Long-term security requires maintaining economic productivity and investing in human capital (skills) alongside financial capital to adapt to an AI-driven workforce.
- Alexis Crowe: Geographical diversification and the inclusion of alternative assets and impact investing are essential for future portfolio construction.
- Dot Kelly: Individuals must maintain an unswerving focus on their vocation while remaining flexible in wealth creation strategies to navigate labor market disruptions.
- Sylvia Kwan: Investors should start immediately, even with small amounts ($5/month), and view financial well-being as a critical component of overall physical and mental health.