Conference Presentation, Panel
Agritech, Vertical Farming and Food Security
Milken InstituteCathy Burns, Her Excellency Mariam bint Mohammed Saeed Hareb Al Mehairi, Charlie McNairy, Bob Reiter, David Rosenberg, Mariam bint Mohammed Saeed Hareb Al Mehairi
Panel Overview & Strategic Context
- Growth Imperative: The global produce industry aims to supply 60% more food by 2050, with the expectation that the majority of this increase will come from the fruit and vegetable sector.
- Industry Scope: The Produce Marketing Association (PMA) represents the entire supply chain, from seed manufacturers to retail and food service, focusing on the intersection of agriculture, technology, sustainability, and food security.
- Core Mission: Key stakeholders aim to leverage agri-tech to reduce risk, improve food security, and shift consumer behavior toward higher fruit and vegetable consumption.
AeroFarms (David Burns)
- Operational Scale: Recently built the world's largest vertical farm in Newark, NJ; currently operating nine farms and growing approximately 400 plant varieties.
- Cost Parity: Sells leafy greens at organic price points (no premium over field-farmed organic) by 20% lower than traditional market premiums, driven by reduced input costs.
- Labor Automation: Deploying automation in seeding, harvesting, cleaning, and packaging; a fifth automation model is scheduled for rollout in September to further reduce labor costs.
- Quality & Safety: Grows without pesticides, herbicides, or fungicides, eliminating the need for washing and reducing contamination risks (e.g., E. coli, Salmonella) associated with traditional produce washing.
- Sensory Optimization: Utilizes data science to manipulate environmental variables (spectrum light, CO2/O2 ratios, mineral composition) to alter phytochemistry, resulting in improved taste and texture (e.g., converting bitter kale to tender).
- Socio-Enterprise Integration: Hired 30 formerly incarcerated individuals at the ninth farm; launched "Salad Days" in inner-city schools to change child eating behaviors, citing a visit from Michelle Obama to support childhood obesity initiatives.
- Scalability Challenges: Identifies policy (water subsidies) and high capital expenditure (CapEx) as primary barriers to scaling; advocates for debt financing and impact investing (e.g., Goldman Sachs, Prudential) to overcome funding gaps.
- Brand Strategy: Markets "Dream Greens" to highlight "no sun, no soil" attributes transparently, though notes that consumers often prefer product-focused branding ("fresh, flavorful, safe") over process-focused labeling.
- Talent Acquisition: Prioritizes intellectual curiosity and conceptual problem-solving skills over direct agricultural experience; top talent sources include Columbia, Harvard, and MIT, with the company defining itself as a technology firm.
UAE Ministry of State for Future Food Security (Her Excellency Mariam Al Amiri)
- Food Security Definition: Defines food security as access to nutritious, sufficient, and affordable food, noting the UAE imports 90% of its food despite being an arid, water-scarce nation.
- Global Ranking: Ranked 33rd on the global food security index (out of 113 countries) despite low domestic agricultural GDP contribution (<1%), driven by robust trade logistics and global partnerships.
- Strategic Pillars: Established a "whole of government" strategy focusing on three areas: integrated national food security planning, driving agritech adoption, and establishing a robust R&D agenda.
- Talent & Perception Barriers: Identifies the primary challenge as engaging youth (Millennials/Gen Z) who view agriculture as "digging in the dirt" rather than a high-tech career in the Fourth Industrial Revolution.
- New Certification: Developing a new UAE sustainable agriculture logo to distinguish soilless, water-efficient, and pesticide-free technologies from traditional organic certification, which currently excludes certain high-tech methods.
- Seawater Agriculture: Prioritizing R&D on crops like Salicornia (sea beans) that can be grown directly in seawater, addressing the UAE's specific "sun, sand, and seawater" landscape.
- Regional Impact: Plans to deploy agri-tech solutions to aid food security in conflict-affected regions (e.g., Syria, Africa) and manage the food needs of over 20 million annual tourists.
International Flavors & Fragrances / IFC (Bob Reiter)
- Data-Driven Decision Making: Shifts grower decision-making from experience-based to data-analytics-driven, aiming to optimize 40 key seasonal decisions (planting, harvesting, fertilizing) for efficiency.
- Technology Deployment: Utilizes a "model farm" approach to test technologies at scale before rolling them out to a 400,000-acre global land platform, ensuring economic viability.
- Yield Increases:
- Achieved a 70% yield increase and 60% fertilizer reduction over 10 years using variable-rate application and grid sampling (mid-1990s to 2005).
- Current imagery-based predictive analytics have achieved 57% higher growth yields than USDA averages.
- Labor Solutions: Views robotics as a critical solution to labor shortages, utilizing cameras to assess fruit consistency and harvest without damage.
- Talent Gap: Notes that 60% of U.S. farmers are part-time; emphasizes that the industry must be rebranded as "food solutions for health outcomes" to attract top data science and engineering talent.
- Investment Landscape: Highlights $23 billion in venture capital flowing into AgTech since 2010, though notes AgTech R&D spending ($8.5B) remains significantly lower than the pharmaceutical sector ($165B).
International Farmers Corporation (Charlie)
- Supply Chain Disintermediation: Moves away from fragmented farmer-aggregator models to direct platforms matching productive land with food buyers, retaining economic value for farmers and improving traceability.
- Water Economics: Cites Australia as a model for water trading and valuation, contrasting it with severe challenges in California where land value is tied to water rights.
- Consumer Trends: Identifies the "food as medicine" trend as a primary driver for supply chain reorganization and shifting consumer consumption habits.
- Breeding Alignment: Calls for realigning breeding programs to specifically tailor crops for vertical and controlled environments, moving beyond traditional traits like disease resistance to focus on flavor and yield in closed systems.
Cross-Cutting Themes & Future Outlook
- Transparency & Traceability:
- Blockchain: Stakeholders (IFC, AeroFarms) are utilizing blockchain and immutable ledgers to enable farm-level traceability of seeds, water usage, and treatment practices.
- Measurement Standards: AeroFarms argues for measuring sustainability metrics (e.g., energy, water) per unit of food consumed rather than produced to account for spoilage rates in traditional supply chains.
- Marketing & Communication:
- Confusion Mitigation: Experts agree that the industry must better communicate the science behind labels (Non-GMO, Organic, GMO) to reduce consumer confusion caused by geographic disconnect from farming.
- Talent Branding: The industry is shifting its narrative from "manual labor" to "high-tech, sexy, data-driven solutions" to attract Millennials and Gen Z.
- Climate Change Adaptation:
- Resilience: Focus is shifting to breeding crops for heat and water stress resilience, as climate volatility accelerates (e.g., corn expanding into South Dakota/Canada).
- Pest Dynamics: Acknowledgment that changing climates are altering pest spectrums, requiring a holistic technological approach beyond just breeding.
- Policy & Regulation:
- Subsidies: David Burns argues that water subsidies in the U.S. disincentivize innovation, suggesting that higher water prices would drive more robust conservation solutions.
- Financing: Innovative projects struggle to secure traditional debt due to the 3-year track record requirement, relying instead on impact investors and opportunity zone policies.
- Future Directions:
- Microbials & Genetics: Interest in soil microbials and CRISPR-Cas9 technologies, with a call for better industry dialogue regarding their benefits.
- Inclusive Agriculture: Recognition that closed-system farming can enable participation from disabled individuals and women, groups traditionally excluded from field farming.