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Conference Presentation, Panel, Fireside Chat

Alternative Small Business Financing: Keeping California on Top and Sharing the Wealth

  • California's Market Dominance:

    • In 2016, California provided 41% of U.S. alternative financing and received 58% of all funds, significantly outpacing New York (24% provided, 12% received) and Texas.
    • The state's leadership is driven by the "wealth effect" from successful exits (e.g., Google, Facebook), the density of human capital from top universities (Stanford, Berkeley, UCLA, Caltech), and the necessity for investors to maintain proximity to portfolio companies.
  • Investment Disparities by Industry and Demographics:

    • The majority of California angel investment targets software development, followed by business products and healthcare.
    • Only 4% of angel deals in California are awarded to female minority entrepreneurs.
    • Venture capitalists prioritize software due to the speed of achieving product-market fit (3–6 months) compared to high-capital, long-horizon sectors like biotech (5+ years), maximizing internal rate of return (IRR).
    • Venture capital systems exhibit structural bias toward white males, with 99% of capital flowing to graduates of the top 10 universities.
  • Crowdfunding Analysis (Reg CF):

    • Crowdfunding reached an estimated $34 billion market value in 2015, exceeding global venture capital investment in 2016; however, panelists dispute the accuracy of these aggregate figures, noting heavy conflation of different crowdfunding models.
    • California led the nation in Reg CF offerings last year with nearly $8 million, double the volume of Texas.
    • Criticism: Angel investors argue Reg CF is ineffective for early-stage startups due to high marketing costs, low caps ($1.07 million), and the difficulty of generating awareness without an existing network; one panelist noted that "normal" businesses often fail to raise funds without the "sizzle" of unique concepts like cannabis or electric vehicles.
    • Support: Panelists acknowledge Reg CF's value for underserved communities and women-owned businesses, noting that it allows local, non-accredited investors to support familiar community businesses (e.g., restaurants, dry cleaners) which traditional VCs ignore.
    • Success Factors: Successful Reg CF campaigns rely heavily on the entrepreneur's existing personal network and organic social media promotion rather than paid marketing.
  • Legislative and Regulatory Challenges:

    • California is currently struggling to pass interstate crowdfunding exemptions, primarily due to a lack of education among legislators regarding the economic benefits of the policy.
    • Thirty-six other states have already passed interstate exemptions, often with higher funding caps (e.g., Texas allows up to $5 million), making California's regulatory environment less competitive.
    • Panelists emphasize that successful state exemptions require streamlined compliance to minimize legal costs for startups, which currently range in the tens of thousands of dollars.
  • Future Outlook and Recommendations:

    • Tax Reform: Panelists suggest California could maintain its edge by extending federal capital gains exemptions (Section 1202 and 1045) at the state level, as California currently taxes the full $10 million gain on qualified small business stock, unlike other states.
    • Technology Integration: There is a push to leverage AI and data science (e.g., CrowdSmart) to de-risk investing, moving away from "old boys network" decisions toward data-driven fundamentals.
    • New Financial Instruments: Panelists advocate for "revenue share" notes as a viable alternative to equity for non-tech small businesses, offering investors a percentage of net revenue while providing entrepreneurs with a path to profitability.
    • Education and Outreach: A consensus exists that legislative success depends on targeting financial literacy and entrepreneurship education to underserved communities, youth, and rural areas, as the average small business owner reads at a 7th-grade level and lacks financial literacy.
    • Blockchain and ICOs: Despite the current regulatory lag, panelists note a massive influx of capital into Initial Coin Offerings (over $3 billion globally) and urge California to establish clear interstate regulations to prevent capital flight to other jurisdictions.