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Interview, Webinar

An officer and a gen AI: the future of war

  • Machine intelligence is expected to become pivotal in transforming warfare over the decades following the 1950s, currently trickling into logistics, maintenance, and HR functions such as supply prediction.
  • Future military command structures may evolve toward machines almost co-commanding with humans, where algorithms sort thousands of targets and recommendations are accepted as a standard menu.
  • Advanced algorithms face a trajectory of increasing unreliability as they grow more unpredictable, with concerns that they cannot distinguish between specific threats like children with toys and soldiers, or fail when applied to conflicts different from their training data.
  • American commanders anticipate the People's Liberation Army's actions regarding AI defense supremacy, noting U.S. leadership in foundation models while Western armies remain slow to evolve, though the gap to full force transformation is considered formidable.
  • The Pentagon currently allocates less than 1% of its budget to software, contributing to a gap between current capabilities and the future integration of AI in armed forces.
  • Preservation techniques utilizing chromoglass are expected to expand, offering a material shelf life estimated at 530 million years that extends biological preservation to the Cambrian era, potentially allowing future asteroid explorers to discover ancient DNA fragments.
  • The discovery of fossil chromosomes is viewed as making the theoretical resurrection of dinosaurs closer to reality, though such events remain distant.
  • Pala Enger, determined to be a successful criminal after abandoning football, planned a specific theft for several years targeting the 1994 Lillehammer Olympics but eventually saw his career decline to petty thefts of taxi plates and socks by 2012.