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Panel, Conference Presentation

Beyond Gridlock: The Future of Gun Violence Prevention | Milken Institute Global Conference 2024

Crisis Context and Statistics

  • Gun thefts in Tennessee have increased by 700% over the last decade.
  • Recent mass shootings have resulted in at least 18 fatalities, including eight teenagers and one child.
  • Approximately 400 million firearms are currently in circulation in the United States, outnumbering the population.
  • Between 56 and 57 million new firearms entered the U.S. market in the last three years.
  • In 2023, there were 656 mass shootings recorded in the United States, surpassing 1999 (Columbine) as the start of the 24-hour news cycle era for such events.
  • Gun violence surpassed automobile accidents as the leading cause of death for children in the U.S.
  • 17 veterans die by suicide daily in the U.S., with 72% of these deaths involving firearms.
  • While male veteran suicide rates rose 6% year-over-year, female veteran suicide rates increased by 24% in the most recent reporting period.
  • Half of all veterans who die by suicide have never interacted with VA services or benefits.
  • Veterans receiving service-connected disability compensation have the lowest suicide rates compared to other demographic groups.
  • 93% of firearms used in crimes are obtained through illegal channels.
  • National homicide rates dropped 12% in the most recent year, with Chicago seeing a 16% decrease.

Public Health and Research Gaps

  • Over 50% of gun-related deaths are suicides, yet this area remains significantly under-researched compared to homicides.
  • The Joyce Foundation funded litigation and advocacy ranging from conservative to "edgy" positions to explore wide-ranging solutions.
  • The panel identified "access to guns" as the primary risk factor underlying suicide, mass shootings, school violence, and community violence.
  • Current data collection on veteran suicides is outdated, with 2021 being the most recent complete timeframe in government reports.
  • There is a recognized deficit of data regarding the cumulative psychological trauma of witnessing gun violence among children.

Intervention Strategies and Technological Solutions

  • ShotSpotter Technology:
    • Uses 20+ ambient sensors per square mile to triangulate gunfire within 30–45 seconds.
    • Addresses the gap where 80–90% of community gunfire goes unreported to 911 due to fear or normalization.
    • Has been deployed in over 170 cities to reduce response times and save lives through rapid medical intervention.
  • Veteran Suicide Prevention (Mission: Breakthrough):
    • Distributed over 2 million gun locks since 2021.
    • Launched a $20 million challenge to fund innovative collaborations between veterans, innovators, and local governments.
    • Funded "VeriSafe," an electronic gun lock requiring a "buddy check" text message from a trusted contact for access, turning access attempts into intervention moments.
    • Funded apps using AI to detect anomalous behavioral patterns (e.g., sleep, location, routine) as early warning signs of crisis.
  • Miami's Ecosystem Approach:
    • Reduced homicides from 220 in 1980 to 31 in 2023 despite a tripling of population.
    • Strategies include Mayor-led 5K runs at homicide sites to set a tone of urgency.
    • Implementation of ShotSpotter technology integrated with increased police staffing and technology.
    • Creation of free city-wide fitness programs to address mental health, community building, and adversity training.
    • Focus on economic prosperity and high wages as protective factors against violence.

Community Engagement and Policy Levers

  • Red Flag Laws: 21 states have adopted laws allowing intervention with individuals whose relatives show signs of dangerous behavior involving firearms.
  • School Safety Evidence:
    • Bulletproof backpacks and metal detectors are cited as lacking strong evidence of efficacy.
    • Proven strategies include anonymous reporting systems and upstream violence prevention (social skills, emotional regulation).
    • Data shows LGBTQ+ youth face higher risks of bullying and suicide, requiring inclusive safety protocols.
  • Gun Buybacks: Miami partnered with corporations to purchase firearms for destruction or donation, successfully removing an arsenal from a widow's home.
  • Federal Prosecution Levers: Using federal prosecution to sentence perpetrators to federal prisons (e.g., Marion, Indiana) prevents early release and social reintegration into crime circles common in local state prisons.
  • Sports-Based Intervention: The Military Basketball Association partners with community coalitions to reserve courts for veterans, fostering social support networks that reduce isolation and suicide risk.

Philanthropic and Corporate Role

  • Philanthropic organizations can take risks regarding litigation and advocacy that corporations and governments cannot.
  • Reputational risks for corporations engaging in gun safety (e.g., Walmart) are often exaggerated; most Americans support common-sense gun laws.
  • There is a consensus that solving gun violence requires collaboration between philanthropy, the business community, and government policy.
  • "Grand Challenge" prize models are being used to incentivize private sector innovation in public safety and health.
  • The panel emphasized that the solution is not a single "silver bullet" but requires an adaptive, bespoke combination of technology, law enforcement, and community engagement.

Historical Context and Future Outlook

  • Comparisons were drawn to the successful reduction of smoking (from ~50% to 12%) and the rise of seatbelt usage (from 12% to ~94%) through education and policy.
  • The panel rejected the narrative of irreversibility, citing historical precedents where public will shifted public health outcomes.
  • Hope is placed in the "public health lens" and the emerging shift to viewing gun violence as a civil rights issue, noting disproportionate impacts on young men of color.
  • Young people are increasingly mobilizing, rejecting lockdown drills and demanding safety changes that have not been seen in the previous decade.
  • The "cost" of gun violence is framed not just in lives lost, but in economic burdens on hospital systems, police departments, and community trauma.