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Commodities Update: Silver Steps Out of Gold’s Shadow

  • U.S. oil demand may deteriorate if a second wave occurs, while long-term production is projected to decline due to reduced capital expenditures and a lack of new growth from producers.
  • OPEC intends to limit future market flooding, whereas the U.S. gold price target has been raised with expectations for further upside.
  • The gold-to-silver ratio, which peaked at 120 in May, has recently compressed to approximately 80; the gold market remains eight times larger than the silver market.
  • Silver outlook is supported by 50 percent of its production being in the Americas, half of its usage being industrial, and anticipated political support for solar subsidies, creating a bullish supply-demand dynamic.