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Goldman Sachs at 150: Part 2 – Hubris (1929)

  • Cultural Philosophy and Risk Aversion:

    • Lloyd Blankfein's 2007 stance of "constitutional pessimism" reflects a historical Goldman Sachs culture rooted in the 1930s Depression, where survival depends on anticipating that "every bubble bursts."
    • The firm maintains a preparedness for cyclical downturns regardless of current profitability or market euphoria.
  • 1914-1918 Schism and Resource Loss:

    • A deep ideological split occurred at the outbreak of World War I between Henry Goldman (pro-German) and partners Samuel and Harry Sachs (pro-Allied).
    • Henry Goldman resigned shortly before 1918, taking 15 major clients and a "considerable" portion of the partnership's capital.
    • The two families never spoke again following the departure.
  • Leadership Transition and Strategic Shift:

    • Following Henry Goldman's exit, the remaining seven partners (Sam and Harry Sachs, plus sons Arthur, Walter, and Howard) became the first to recruit a non-family external leader.
    • This decision appointed Waddell Catchings, a charismatic outsider with industrial experience, who had entered the firm at the top rather than rising through the ranks.
  • Waddell Catchings' Controversial Leadership (1920s):

    • Catchings prioritized short-term profits and "enormous leverage" over the firm's long-term institutional stability, operating as a "lone wolf."
    • He aggressively pursued mergers, creating corporate icons like General Foods and National Dairy, but adopted an increasingly imperious and intractable demeanor.
    • Catchings published The Road to Plenty (1928), advocating for aggressive strategies involving margin buying and highly leveraged assets.
  • The Goldman Sachs Trading Corporation (1928-1929):

    • Founded in 1928 as an off-balance sheet investment trust to capitalize on the bull market, representing a new institutional form for trading capital gains.
    • Stock in the corporation doubled to $222 per share within months of creation; Catchings rejected warnings from partner Walter Sachs, dismissing them for lacking "imagination."
    • The entity leveraged assets at a ratio of 129 to 1 by October 1929.
  • The Crash and Near-Collapse:

    • Following the October 1929 crash, the Trading Corporation's stock plummeted from a peak of $326 to $1.75 per share.
    • The collapse nearly ended Goldman Sachs' 60-year run; the Trading Corporation was "obliterated" and Catchings was ousted.
    • Survival depended on the legal separation of the Trading Corporation from the main firm; had it been an integral part, the firm likely would not have survived the Great Depression.
    • The event instilled a cultural lesson regarding the dangers of overweening ambition, lack of caution, and solitary decision-making.
  • Post-Crash Legal and Reputational Fallout:

    • A consortium of 42,000 stockholders sued Goldman Sachs for $100 million as the firm navigated the "stuck market" of the Depression.
    • Many Wall Street insiders believed the family-run business would not survive the reputational damage and financial liabilities.