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Has the AI boom entered a manic new phase? | The Economist
- Several "giga IPOs" are anticipated, including those from Anthropic and OpenAI, with OpenAI potentially delaying its offering until next year.
- OpenAI and Anthropic are projected to reach valuations comparable to SpaceX, which is expected to become the largest IPO in history.
- Retail investor participation in upcoming IPOs is forecast to reach significantly higher levels than usual, a trend characterized as a shift toward a manic market phase.
- The concentration of AI stocks has returned to levels close to those observed during the 2001 dot-com bust, presenting a notable source of concern.
- Options market signals indicate that call options are substantially more expensive than put options, suggesting institutional investors are wagering on a market increase.
- Major U.S. technology companies are expected to maintain an increasing share of investment-grade debt as they borrow heavily to fund AI infrastructure, including data centers and power supply.