Panel, Conference Presentation
How African Sovereign Wealth Funds Are Accelerating Investments | Middle East & Africa Summit 2025
Milken InstituteBritish Robinson, Badr Drissi, Alain Ebobissé, James Mwangi, Aminu Umar-Sadiq, Samaila Zubairu
Pan-African Capital Mobilization Potential
- Over $4 trillion in total domestic capital pools exists on the continent.
- Institutional savings total approximately $1.8 trillion.
- Pension funds hold over $550 billion in savings, a figure updated from previous estimates of $450 billion.
- Sovereign wealth funds collectively manage over $150 billion in assets.
- The majority of these domestic funds remain invested in short-term government paper rather than productive sectors like agriculture, infrastructure, or industry.
Resource and Industrialization Trends
- Africa holds over 30% of global mineral reserves, yet exploration investment remains under $10 million in nations with landmasses exceeding 1 million square kilometers.
- Copper is identified as "the new gold," essential for electrification, EVs, and defense, with significant high-grade reserves currently untapped.
- A major copper smelter is being commissioned in the DRC, processing high-grade ore using renewable energy to demonstrate industrial decarbonization.
- Strategic focus is shifting from exporting raw materials to exporting semi-finished and finished goods (e.g., aluminum smelting in Morocco using imported bauxite and local green energy).
- A new integrated aluminum project in Morocco aims to import bauxite from Guinea, process it locally using wind and solar energy, and export alumina and aluminum to international markets.
Infrastructure and Energy Projects
- The Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) manages 1.4 gigawatts of renewable energy assets (solar and wind) and has a pipeline of 3 gigawatts with power purchase agreements (PPAs).
- AFC's broader energy pipeline exceeds 10 gigawatts.
- A cross-border transmission line project valued at $2 billion connects Angola, DRC, and Zambia to supply power across the Lobito Corridor.
- A fertilizer production capacity of 3 million tons is being established, with expansion plans into Ethiopia.
- Africa 50 launched a $100 million project development fund and is scaling up with a $400 million Green Infrastructure for Africa fund dedicated solely to project preparation.
- Nigeria and Morocco are collaborating on a DAP and ammonia plant leveraging Nigerian natural gas resources.
- A $2.5 billion joint venture (Wisal Capital) involving Saudi, Qatari, Emirati, and Kuwaiti sovereigns targets Morocco's hospitality and tourism sector.
Sovereign Wealth Fund Strategies and Roles
- African sovereign wealth funds are transitioning from passive savers to catalytic investors, focusing on de-risking projects to attract international capital.
- Ithmar Capital (Morocco) operates as a strategic development fund with a mandate to mobilize $2–4 of private capital for every $1 invested.
- Nigeria's Sovereign Wealth Investment Authority (NSIA) is creating institutional platforms in partnership with the World Bank and IFC to address scale, project preparation, and viability gaps.
- NSIA is developing a storage platform to reduce post-harvest losses, including commercial warehouses and cold storage facilities.
- NSIA partnered with JICA to create an impact innovation platform matching grants with capital for Nigeria's venture capital and technology sectors.
- A financial guarantor entity, InfraCredit, was established with the AFC to wrap infrastructure bonds, enabling pension funds to invest with near-zero default rates despite perceived risks.
- The Africa Sovereign Investors Forum (ASIF), launched in 2022, unites 10+ African funds to share knowledge, increase global visibility, and structure club deals for GCC and global investors.
- ASIF is developing a new investment platform with Letters of Intent (LOIs) signed by NSIA and Ithmar Capital, with interest from China Investment Corporation (CIC), US DFC, and Spanish Cofides.
Commercial Bank and Private Sector Contributions
- Equity Group (East Africa) is leveraging long-term development partners like Norfund and the IFC to create a continuum of financing beyond short-term commercial lending.
- Commercial banks provide critical local knowledge, regulatory navigation, and trust, acting as brokers for syndicated finance and local capital mobilization.
- Equity Bank holds 12.5% government stake in DLT, facilitating direct government engagement for project approval.
- African commercial banks are mobilizing domestic savings, creating "skin in the game" for citizens and ensuring projects reflect local needs.
Forward-Looking Statements and Investment Priorities
- Value Addition: All panelists prioritize industrialization through beneficiation (e.g., iron ore to steel, bauxite to aluminum) rather than raw material export.
- Asset Recycling: A primary short-term opportunity involves identifying and acquiring cash-generating government assets (e.g., ports, airports, the Senegambia Bridge) via platforms like Africa 50 Mobility to release capital for new projects.
- Energy and Transmission: Power transmission and grid connectivity are identified as the most urgent prerequisites for continental development and industrialization.
- Human Capital: Education is highlighted as the most critical long-term investment, requiring 20–30 years to yield returns.
- Digital Economy: Africa 50 is developing a "Talent City" and digital free zone in Lagos to support data centers and the AI economy.
- Risk Perception Management: Panelists emphasize educating global investors on the reality of low default rates (<1%) in African infrastructure versus the perceived "fear" of risk, noting that de-risked projects may yield lower returns than the double-digit IRRs investors currently seek.
Geoeconomic Context
- The G20 B20 Finance and Infrastructure Task Force identified a divergence between global fragmentation and Africa's unique potential driven by youth, mobility, and resources.
- The UAE government announced a $1 billion commitment to AI and Africa during the G20 session in Johannesburg.
- Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies are seeking to integrate supply chains starting in Africa (e.g., aluminum smelting using African bauxite) to support their own industrial and digital city plans.