Panel, Roundtable
How would Europe’s populist right govern?
The EconomistZanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr, Nigel Farage, Alice Weidel, Jordan Bardella, Zannie, Sophie, Sasha, Ed, Sani
- Bardell is projected to convert youth popularity into actual votes, though this outcome remains uncertain.
- The Alternative für Deutschland (AFD) is expected to maintain hardline elements within its ranks without removing extremist members.
- Both the AFD and RN are unlikely to sufficiently moderate their manifesto demands to secure maximum economic growth, as key policies include leaving the euro or challenging European integration.
- A power shift to these parties would likely reframe growth problems as consequences of EU regulations, creating serious functional consequences for Europe due to an expected lack of cooperation on regulatory changes.
- RN governance in France is anticipated to dismantle specific EU policies, including electricity pricing mechanisms and budget contributions, while viewing the EU primarily as an instrument of German interests.
- German populists are expected to hold a diametrically opposed view, perceiving the EU as detrimental to German interests, creating a scenario where the two parties' near-term power would generate significant chaos.
- Bardell may request assistance from the European Central Bank for debt repayment, following precedents set during the euro crisis.