Panel
Innovative Cities: Transforming the Urban Ecosystem
Milken InstituteRoss Duvall, Andy Cohen, Claire Cockerton, Shirley Franklin, Ned Couric, Perry Wong, Rasmus Silkaitisenkovskiy, Eric Schmidt, David Plylar
Global Urbanization Trends
- 50% of the global population currently lives in cities, with UN projections indicating 65% of the developing world and 85% of the developed world will be urban by 2050.
- Approximately 25 million people in China alone are moving to urban centers annually.
- Key drivers for urban migration include the demand for jobs, livability, vibrant amenities, and walkable districts.
Physical Design and "Vertical Urbanism"
- Gensler is pioneering "vertical urbanism," designing three-dimensional integrated spaces that combine residential, office, retail, and hospitality functions within single structures.
- A flagship example is a upcoming 2nd tallest building in Shanghai (completed October), dubbed the "Dragon's Tale," designed to house 30,000 people.
- The structure features eight vertical sky gardens serving as town squares and a double glass wall system for insulation and humidity control.
- Sustainability is integrated via 1,200 windmills at the roof level to power a significant portion of the building's electricity.
- Design strategies increasingly focus on "upcycling" materials, such as using old computer parts for benches and floor panels for tables, to reduce construction waste.
- Mixed-use development is becoming a global demand to revitalize blighted areas, exemplified by the conversion of downtown LA and the Meatpacking District in New York.
Transportation and Energy Innovation
- Toyota plans to mass-produce the hydrogen-powered Mirai in the US by late summer or fall, aiming to catalyze a "hydrogen society."
- Toyota forecasts a 40-50 year transition period where diverse transportation systems, including hybrids and hydrogen vehicles, will coexist.
- Toyota is collaborating with California to expand hydrogen infrastructure, with 9 existing stations and plans to add 17 in the current year and 28 the following year (totaling 48 stations).
- Future transportation models emphasize connected vehicles that communicate with infrastructure and other vehicles to optimize routes and enhance safety.
- Semi-autonomous features (lane detection, advanced braking) already exist in luxury vehicles, while fully autonomous fleet operations are expected first in controlled environments like campuses or airports.
- Shared, connected vehicles are projected to reduce energy costs by optimizing routes and increasing asset utilization.
Social Impact and Community Transformation
- The "Purpose Built Communities" model, originally launched in East Lake Meadows (Atlanta), transforms high-crime, disinvested areas through a holistic approach.
- The model integrates affordable mixed-income housing, "cradle-to-college" education programs, and community wellness centers (e.g., the YMCA).
- Results in East Lake include the former lowest-performing elementary school becoming one of the highest performing, reduced crime rates, and sustained community engagement.
- The model has been replicated in 11 US cities, including New Orleans (post-Katrina), Fort Worth, Houston, Omaha, Birmingham, and Spartanburg.
- Financing for these projects combines federal grants, private investor capital, and philanthropy, requiring sustainable revenue streams to maintain long-term viability.
- Programs are expanding to include entrepreneurship training for residents to stabilize communities economically over 20-year horizons.
- The "Purpose Built Communities" model, originally launched in East Lake Meadows (Atlanta), transforms high-crime, disinvested areas through a holistic approach.
Innovation Ecosystems and Entrepreneurship
- Innovate Finance and NTIC foster entrepreneurship through physical incubators (e.g., Level 39 in London), accelerator programs, and industry organizations.
- The "Cognicity Challenge" in London's Canary Wharf is a competition-led program engaging seven startups per stream to pilot technologies for integrated transportation, waste management, and sustainable building.
- Example: The winning firm "Voyage Control" uses real-time data to map logistics and utilize excess capacity in city trucks and lorries.
- Millennials (projected to be 50% of the workforce by 2020) prioritize authenticity, creativity, and physical spaces that reflect local culture (e.g., adaptive reuse of old battery plants for Airbnb HQ).
- Entrepreneurship is increasingly driven by non-millennials in transforming industries (e.g., financial services) seeking new career paths.
Policy and Public-Private Partnerships
- Successful urban transformation relies on deep public-private partnerships, a history exemplified in Atlanta since the Civil Rights era.
- Former Atlanta Mayor Shirley Franklin cites the 1980s airport expansion and the city's governance as dependent on continuous collaboration between government and business leaders.
- In Hong Kong, a model of public-private partnership enabled the integration of subway infrastructure with zoning and development, creating multi-layered spaces for retail and offices above transit hubs.
- Perry Wong (Milken Institute) notes that "smart city" strategies must be customized to local resources; a one-size-fits-all technological approach is insufficient without a core long-term economic plan.
Challenges and Future Outlook
- China: Rapid urbanization faces challenges regarding registration systems (hukou) and education access; the government is moving to grant city dweller status to laborers to mitigate isolation.
- Affordability: There is a risk that high-density, vertically integrated housing in China may become exclusive to the wealthy due to high monthly service fees (estimated at $3,000/month for access), creating social segregation.
- Demographics: US cities must plan for a rapidly aging population, with projections suggesting one in four to five Americans will be 65+ in 20-25 years.
- Equity: A primary risk of smart city development is the creation of neighborhood subdivisions unless equitable distribution of benefits (jobs, data, amenities) is prioritized.
- Conclusion: The consensus is that design, technology, and policy must align to create inclusive, sustainable, and economically vibrant urban ecosystems.