Conference Presentation, Panel
Innovators Improving Access: Creating Healthier Links in the Food Chain
Milken InstituteKevin Boylan, Matt Barnard, Lee Anne Grant, Dariush Mozaffarian, Sam Polk, Josh Stevens, Simone Friedman, Jeffrey Davis, Ambassador Compson
Panelist Backgrounds and Ventures
- Sam Polk (Everytable): Former Wall Street trader (25 years); co-founder of Everytable, a fast-food reinvention company aiming to make healthy food affordable via a centralized kitchen model.
- Matt Barnard (Plenty): CEO of Plenty, which builds indoor, resource-efficient vertical farms (up to 1,000 acres of conventional production in 5 acres of building footprint).
- Josh Stevens (Day2): President and CCO of Day2, a microbiome-focused company using machine learning to personalize diets for glycemic control and diabetes prevention.
- Leanne Grant (Brandless): Head of Partnerships at Brandless, selling direct-to-consumer essentials at a standardized $3 price point with a "buy one, donate one" meal program.
- Dr. Dari Mozaffarian: Dean of the Friedman School at Tufts University; cardiologist focused on nutrition as the primary driver of chronic disease and environmental impact.
Substantive Facts and Data Points
- Dietary Mortality: Up to 1,000 deaths per day in the U.S. are attributed to cardiovascular disease and diabetes alone, solely due to dietary factors.
- Veggie Grill Scale: Served 1.3 million guests in the last 90 days; the vast majority of these consumers are meat-eaters.
- Clinical Data: Day2 has conducted clinical trials on over 10,000 subjects, collecting 4 million glucose readings and 50,000 meals to train machine learning models.
- Water Efficiency: Plenty's vertical farms utilize approximately 1% of the water required for conventional agriculture producing the same crops.
- Research Funding Gap: The U.S. federal government spends $1.5 billion annually on nutrition research compared to $70 billion on drugs and devices (a 46:1 ratio).
- Healthcare Costs: The U.S. spends $1.4 trillion annually addressing obesity-related conditions, responsible for 70% of annual deaths.
- Consumption Disparity: The U.S. population (4% of the world) consumes 30% of the dollar value of global fruits and vegetables.
- Price Sensitivity: Food deserts often correlate with lower life expectancy (e.g., 12 years lower in South LA compared to Bel Air) and per capita incomes as low as $13,000.
Business Models and Strategies
- Everytable's Two-Tier Pricing:
- Sells identical meals for $7–$8 in affluent areas (e.g., Santa Monica).
- Sells the same meals for $4–$5 in underserved areas (e.g., South LA) to ensure profitability while maintaining accessibility.
- Plenty's Supply Chain Approach:
- Claims fresh produce is a "luxury" due to perishability; consumers effectively "throw money away" on spoilage.
- Targets reducing supply chain distance from thousands of miles to 50 miles to improve taste and reduce waste without relying on flavor enhancers (salt/sugar).
- Day2's Accessibility Strategy:
- Direct-to-consumer pricing at ~$300 for personalization.
- Plans to integrate into public clinics and Medicaid/Medicare block grants within 12–18 months to reach lower-income populations.
- Brandless' "Fair Price" Model:
- Cuts out "brand tax" by selling unbranded goods at a flat $3 price point, saving customers approximately 40% compared to national brands.
- Donates one meal for every order via Feeding America.
- Veggie Grill Strategy:
- Avoids health-focused marketing; focuses entirely on taste, texture, and flavor to attract meat-eaters.
Key Arguments and Disagreements
- Personalized vs. Generic Nutrition:
- Josh Stevens (Day2): Argues the era of generic diets is over; microbiome sequencing allows for precise blood sugar management and pre-diabetes prevention.
- Dr. Mozaffarian: Contends that while personalized nutrition is promising, the fundamental principles of a healthy diet (minimally processed, plant-heavy, low sugar/salt) remain consistent across the vast majority of the population regardless of genetics or income.
- Meat Consumption:
- Dr. Mozaffarian: States red meat is not a biological necessity but a convenient protein source; emphasizes that processed meats (even those labeled "nitrate-free" using celery juice) should be avoided.
- Veganism Nuance: Notes that veganism does not guarantee health (e.g., fries and soda are vegan); processed vegan options can be highly detrimental.
- Innovation vs. Cost:
- Matt Barnard: Argues the current food system makes healthy food the most expensive calorie; claims vertical farming will make fresh produce a deflationary force in price.
- Dr. Mozaffarian: Emphasizes that systems change (policy, regulation, infrastructure) is required rather than just consumer education or individual choices.
Forward-Looking Statements and Trends
- Government Role: Dr. Mozaffarian advocates for integrating food into the healthcare system via electronic health records, billing incentives, and Medicaid/Medicare coverage for healthy food purchases (similar to John Hancock's Vitality program).
- Global Expansion: Plenty is actively seeking to expand operations to Africa and the Arabian Peninsula, citing high ROI potential (3–4x) and limited access to fresh food in those regions.
- Investment Landscape: Tech investors are increasingly applying data-centric strategies to food and health, moving away from "wet lab" skepticism due to the availability of large-scale public datasets for pattern recognition.
- Cultural Shifts:
- Sugar-sweetened beverage consumption has dropped 30–40% in the last 5–6 years.
- Consumption of salt and vegetable intake remains stagnant; significant change is expected to come from supply-side innovation rather than demand-side behavior alone.
- Next-Gen Demographics: Gen Z and Millennials are driving demand for transparency and traceability, necessitating clear labeling on "front of pack" regarding origin and ingredients.
Q&A Highlights
- Institutional Food: Leanne Grant and Josh Stevens note that convincing self-insured employers (CFOs) to subsidize healthy cafeteria food is the most viable path for large-scale institutional change due to the direct link between employee diet and healthcare claims.
- Microbiome Research: Josh Stevens highlights a double-blind trial where brown rice spiked blood sugar in diabetics more than ice cream, challenging standard nutritional guidelines regarding starch consumption.
- Investment Risks: Matt Barnard warns of a potential "boom and bust" cycle similar to cleantech, advocating for immediate field-scale testing rather than prolonged bench-scale R&D to mitigate financing risks.
- Africa Opportunity: Ambassador Ambassador Compson highlighted significant economic activity in Accra and Nairobi, suggesting U.S. companies could achieve high returns by deploying hydroponic technology to African markets.