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Interview, Fireside Chat

Jon Gray, President and COO of The Blackstone Group

2020 Market Response and Capital Deployment

  • During January and February 2020, Blackstone identified limited market dislocation and few investment opportunities.
  • In March 2020, the firm deployed approximately $11 billion between late March and early April into liquid securities experiencing 25–65% declines.
  • Targeted asset classes included public REITs, midstream energy MLPs, and leveraged loans, selected based on existing domain expertise.
  • The investment window closed rapidly as central bank and federal government interventions established a market floor.
  • Blackstone regrets deploying less capital during the initial crisis period due to the speed of the market recovery.

Long-Term Investment Themes

  • Interrupted Trends: The firm is investing in sectors expected to recover post-pandemic, including global travel (airports, hotels, business meetings) and location-based entertainment.
  • Urbanization Rebound: Despite current reluctance, Blackstone anticipates a return of population growth to major cities, creating long-term value.
  • Virtual Acceleration: Significant focus is placed on e-commerce, digital infrastructure (wireless towers, data centers, fiber), and content creation businesses.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Blackstone recently acquired multiple studios in Hollywood to capitalize on the demand for content production.
  • Life Sciences: This sector is identified as a key area of growth due to the pandemic-driven boost.

Geographic Strategy and Economic Outlook

  • Investment themes are viewed as global, though the firm favors economies with high exposure to technology and growth, specifically the United States and China.
  • Near-term economic recovery is projected to be stronger in Asia compared to other regions.
  • Blackstone expects the S&P 500 to reach slightly higher valuations in one year, driven by anticipated vaccine deployment, economic restarts, and continued accommodative central bank policies.
  • The firm anticipates China-U.S. relations to remain "fairly tense" over the next year with no easy resolution in the near term.

Investment Culture and Challenges

  • Success at Blackstone relies on high-conviction investing, exemplified by the $14 billion profit on the Hilton Worldwide acquisition made during the 2008 financial crisis.
  • The firm currently manages nearly $100 billion in warehouse assets following the identification of e-commerce trends post-2008.
  • Internal culture prioritizes hiring individuals with intrinsic passion and the drive to execute decisions even when market consensus is negative.
  • The primary operational challenge is navigating the disconnect between a challenged economy and elevated asset valuations resulting from low interest rates.
  • The most significant advice for new investors is to take risks on opportunities outside their comfort zone, such as relocating to new regions or joining emerging business divisions.