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Interview, Fireside Chat

Josh Shapiro on Trump, Iran War Chaos, Israel's Failure, the Economy, and 2028 Race

Pennsylvania Governance & Economic Policy

  • Pennsylvania has created more jobs than all but two states in the U.S. during Shapiro's tenure, maintaining the only growing economy in the Northeast.
  • The state has enacted seven tax cuts targeting small businesses, families (childcare), seniors, and working residents.
  • Permitting reforms reduced approval times to a top-five national ranking, with a "money-back guarantee" issued; 40 million permits have been processed with only five refunds for delays.
  • Specific permitting speedups include same-day licensing for barbers, estimated to add $4,000 annually per barber compared to a previous 20-day wait.
  • Unemployment in Pennsylvania has remained below the national rate for 32 consecutive months.
  • The state tripled funding for Vo-Tech and CTE (Career and Technical Education) programs to support workforce development for non-college graduates.
  • Shapiro eliminated the college degree requirement for most state government positions, resulting in 60% of new hires not requiring degrees.
  • Pennsylvania introduced the first-ever "Working Pennsylvanians Tax Credit," providing roughly $800 to nearly 940,000 qualifying workers.

Fraud Enforcement & Fiscal Responsibility

  • Shapiro ranks #1 in the U.S. for Medicaid fraud prosecutions, a legacy carried over from his previous role as Attorney General.
  • His administration maintains a "zero tolerance" policy on fraud, referring cases to prosecutors when administrative fixes are insufficient.
  • Shapiro opposes wealth taxes and asset seizures on unrealized gains, viewing them as counterproductive to economic growth.
  • He explicitly criticized the recent federal budget deal for cutting Medicaid, warning it could cause 500,000 Pennsylvanians to lose healthcare and shutter 26 rural hospitals.
  • He argues that federal tax cuts for the wealthy, funded by cuts to social programs, exacerbate economic disparity rather than solve it.

Legislative Strategy & The Democratic Party

  • Shapiro governs with a divided legislature: a Republican-led Senate (2-seat margin) and a Democratic-led House (1-seat margin).
  • He attributes Pennsylvania's legislative successes on business reform to bipartisan cooperation, noting that 2025 midterm elections resulted in gains for Democrats in NJ, VA, and PA.
  • He defended the Democratic Party's internal debate process as healthy, arguing that resolving disagreements before the 2026 midterms positions the party to win.
  • Regarding the 2024 Vice Presidential pick, Shapiro denied being rejected due to being Jewish; he stated he withdrew his candidacy 48 hours before the selection of Tim Walz to focus on his gubernatorial duties.
  • Shapiro advocates for a "big tent" approach, emphasizing that the party must unite around education, safety, economic opportunity, and freedom rather than ideological purity tests.

Policy on Foreign Affairs & National Security

  • Shapiro characterizes the recent war in Iran and Gaza as a "war of choice" with undefined objectives and no exit strategy.
  • He criticized President Trump for breaking campaign promises regarding non-intervention in the Middle East, specifically regarding Iran.
  • Shapiro described Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu as leading Israel down a "dangerous and isolated path" that has fractured bipartisan U.S. support for Israel.
  • He supports a two-state solution but noted that a future Palestinian state cannot be led by Hamas, a terrorist organization.
  • He rejected the premise that U.S. policy on Israel causes antisemitism, labeling the conflation of Jewish Americans with Israeli government actions as an "oldest anti-Semitic trope" (dual loyalty).
  • He called for universal condemnation of antisemitism regardless of the political source, noting its presence on both the left and the right.

Congressional & Executive Accountability

  • Shapiro described Congress as "pathetic" for failing to check the Executive Branch, specifically citing Speaker Johnson as a "rubber stamp" for President Trump.
  • He expressed concern over the abuse of the pardon power, citing the recent pardon of a crypto figure (CZ) and the perception that favors are exchanged at Trump's swim club.
  • He criticized the administration for self-dealing and family members enriching themselves, citing the Hunter Biden board seat as a precedent for potential corruption.
  • Shapiro argued that the Founders designed the separation of powers assuming "honorable people" would hold office, a norm he feels is currently broken.
  • He highlighted the economic impact of Trump's tariffs, noting a 30% increase in coffee prices, 19% in beef, and 36% in fertilizer costs for Pennsylvania farmers.

Housing & Education

  • Shapiro proposed a $1 billion state fund for housing construction and repair, noting 50% of PA housing was built prior to 1950.
  • He identified "red tape" and regulatory delays as primary barriers to housing affordability.
  • He emphasized that the American Dream is currently hindered by the high cost of housing and the devaluation of non-college career paths.