Panel
Journalism Today: New Voices, New Models, New Methods | Global Conference 2024
Milken InstituteJosh Barro, Carlissia Graham, Nicholas Johnston, Jon Kelly, Janice Min, Kimi Yoshino
Industry Context & Financial Challenges
- Declining Traditional Revenue: The journalism industry faces a decade of financial instability driven by the collapse of classified ads, declining general advertising, print circulation, and broadcast ratings.
- Failed Investment Models: Significant capital from institutional investors, billionaires, and philanthropies has generally failed to produce sustainable results or reverse headcount cuts and coverage reductions.
- Success Criteria: Current viability depends on new business models that either generate profit immediately, have a clear path to profitability, or possess a defined sustainability vision for nonprofits.
Business Model Case Studies
The Ankler (Janice Min, Publisher)
- Subscription Pricing: Operates on a high-value subscription model at $149 per year, double the previous rate of $75.
- Revenue Performance: Achieved $700,000 in subscription revenue within 27 months.
- Revenue Mix: Currently generates 60% revenue from advertising/sponsorships and 40% from subscriptions.
- Operational Scale: Maintains a lean team of seven employees with total paid subscribers reaching 80,000.
- Seed Capital: Secured a $1.3 million seed investment from Y Combinator in 2022, which remains untouched.
- Strategic Pivot: Moved away from chasing high-traffic, SEO-driven "volume" journalism (like the old Hollywood Reporter) toward exclusive, high-conflict, high-value industry insights.
Puck (John Kelly, Co-Founder)
- Market Positioning: Positions itself as an affinity-driven, two-sided marketplace focusing on "farm-to-table" journalism that combines reporting with direct access to industry insiders.
- Revenue Structure: Core revenue comes from subscriptions, split between a $100/year tier and a $250/year tier offering direct journalist access and off-the-record conversations.
- Financial Metrics: Reported approximately $10 million in revenue for 2023 with roughly 40,000 paying subscribers.
- Team Size: Employs a staff of approximately 50 journalists and staff.
- Editorial Scope: 17 journalists cover 17 verticals including Hollywood, media, politics, technology, art, fashion, and history.
- Growth Strategy: Capitalized as a long-term venture with a focus on building a "subscription machine" rather than relying on traditional ad metrics.
Baltimore Banner (Kimi Yoshino, Editor-in-Chief)
- Funding Source: Launched with a $50 million initial investment from Stuart Bainham (Choice Hotels chairman).
- Operational Scale: Employs 80 journalists and 120 total staff, comparable in size to the former Baltimore Sun.
- Sustainability Goal: Aims to break even by 2026 with an annual operating budget of approximately $20 million.
- Revenue Mix: Targets 50% from subscriptions, 15% from philanthropy, and the remainder from advertising and events.
- Subscriber Target: Currently holds 50,000 paying subscribers and plans to grow to 100,000 to reach the break-even point.
- Accessibility Measures: Provides free access via library cards in Baltimore and surrounding counties, free subscriptions to all Baltimore City students/teachers/families, and no paywall on voter guides.
- Expansion Strategy: Growing coverage from Baltimore into the broader Maryland region.
Axios Media (Nick Johnston, Publisher)
- Core Product: Delivers information via "Smart Brevity," a concise format optimized for mobile consumption and skimming.
- Expansion Scope: Active in 30 local markets with a "light footprint" starting with two journalists per city.
- Local Model: Uses a membership program rather than a hard paywall for local newsletters; revenue pillars are advertising, events, and memberships.
- Hiring Strategy: Focuses on recruiting top local talent (e.g., "the Mike Allen of Denver") to build community trust and habit.
- National Revenue: National operations are profitable, funding the expansion into local markets.
- Organizational History: Founded in 2016; acknowledged as a pioneer in changing information delivery formats, influencing competitors like The New York Times.
New Media Ventures (Carlicia Graham, President)
- Investment Approach: Operates as "venture philanthropy," allowing for patient capital (10–12 year horizons) unlike traditional venture capital.
- Portfolio Strategy: Holds ~50 media investments; the majority focus on culture media and civic tech rather than traditional political news.
- Success Metric: Evaluates businesses based on community relationship building, diversified revenue streams (events, SaaS), and the ability to scale beyond single-platform reliance.
- AI Focus: Actively investing in AI tools that enable small newsrooms (5–10 people) to be productive, rather than requiring large traditional staffs.
Strategic Discussions & Future Outlook
The "Benevolent Billionaire" Debate
- Risk Warning: Panelists warn that billionaire ownership does not guarantee a business model; Jeff Bezos (WaPo), Laurene Powell Jobs (The Atlantic), and Mike Bloomberg all implemented layoffs despite their ownership.
- Distressed Assets: Many high-profile acquisitions (NYT, LAT, Time, Fortune) involved taking over distressed legacy assets rather than building new growth vehicles from scratch.
- Business First: Investors and founders agree that philanthropic capital can fund a business but cannot replace the need for a sustainable revenue strategy.
Paywalls vs. Public Utility
- The Vacuum Risk: Concerns exist that shifting all trusted journalism behind paywalls could create information vacuums filled by misinformation.
- Counter-Argument: Panelists argue there is no "right" to free journalism without a business plan; sustainability requires direct audience revenue or diversified funding.
- Government Funding Fears: Fear that government subsidies or "public utility" designation could compromise editorial independence (citing current controversies surrounding NPR).
- Alternative Access: Strategies to maintain access include library partnerships, free student subscriptions, and keeping specific civic content (voter guides) free.
Technology & AI Integration
- Utility vs. Creation: AI is viewed skeptically for generating original news stories due to accuracy risks and ethical concerns, but is embraced for operational utility.
- Operational Use Cases: AI tools are used to scrape meeting minutes, summarize data, and assist with design/graphics to allow small teams to cover more beats.
- Productivity: Technology is seen as a necessary lever to overcome the low productivity and high labor costs inherent in local news markets.
Local News & Market Saturation
- Model Disruption: The future of local news will likely not resemble the multi-paper ecosystem of the past; consolidation and unique value propositions are necessary.
- Utility Content: Local news success is tied to "utility" (e.g., local regulations, restaurant openings, school info) alongside traditional investigative reporting.
- Broadband Access: Infrastructure limitations, specifically lack of broadband access, are identified as a major barrier to audience growth in rural communities.
- Policy Proposals: Discussions include potential tax credits for local journalism and regulations requiring platforms to share revenue, though these carry risks of political interference.
Newsletter Ecosystem
- Peak News vs. Peak Quality: The market is at "peak shitty news," not peak newsletter; high-quality, direct-to-consumer newsletters are thriving.
- Distribution Shift: Email newsletters are preferred over social media by publishers for controlled distribution and audience relationship building.
- Reader Habits: News consumption is increasingly shifting to inbox-delivered "news-on-demand" formats rather than traditional front-page browsing.