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Interview, Fireside Chat

Raising $2 Billion to Become the SpaceX of Quantum | PsiQuantum's Pete Shadbolt

Funding and Financial Position

  • PsyQuantum has closed a new funding round, bringing its total private capital raised to nearly $2 billion.
  • This valuation exceeds the total private funding of any other quantum computing company.
  • Key investors in this round include BlackRock, Bailey Gifford, and Tomasek, alongside new late-stage crossover capital.
  • Jensen Huang and Nvidia are strategic investors in the round.
  • Previous milestones include a $1 billion AUD deal with the Australian government to build a large-scale quantum computer in Brisbane.
  • PsyQuantum is the anchor tenant for a new $500 million quantum computing campus under construction in Chicago.

Strategic Vision and Market Positioning

  • The company differentiates itself by targeting a direct path to a one-million-qubit system, rejecting incremental scaling from small, toy machines.
  • PsyQuantum operates on the philosophy that commercially impactful quantum computing requires a machine scale comparable to building a moon rocket rather than a ladder.
  • The company aims to become a trillion-dollar enterprise by capturing value at the frontier of physics, chemistry, and materials science.
  • PsyQuantum positions its technology as an "instrument" or telescope for scientific discovery rather than a general-purpose computer for end-users.
  • The company asserts that power and economic value are captured by entities operating on the technological frontier, similar to TSMC, ASML, SpaceX, and Nvidia.
  • PsyQuantum plans to eventually vertically integrate by selling not just computing time, but also the resulting materials, drugs, and fuels derived from its quantum simulations.

Technology and Manufacturing Strategy

  • The company's technology relies on photonics and silicon manufacturing rather than traditional qubit architectures.
  • PsyQuantum has established a manufacturing process with GlobalFoundries in upstate New York, investing over $100 million to integrate quantum components into a Tier 1 foundry.
  • The company has pioneered the production of a new, ultra-pure electro-optic material (Barium Titanate) on 300mm wafers, a capability previously nonexistent in the industry.
  • This new material is being utilized for high-performance optical switches essential for scaling quantum networking and error correction.
  • PsyQuantum is building massive cryogenic infrastructure, including 100-megawatt power requirements and liquid helium plants, for its Brisbane and Chicago sites.
  • The company maintains a "zero-to-one" approach, refusing to offer commercial cloud access to non-functional, small-scale demo systems.

Site Development and Infrastructure

  • The first major machine construction is scheduled to begin in 2027 at a site outside Brisbane Airport, Australia.
  • The Chicago site is being built on a decommissioned U.S. Steel mill, leveraging existing heavy industrial infrastructure and power grids.
  • A new 140,000-square-foot facility in the South Bay, California, serves as the assembly hub for the company's unique manufacturing and cleanroom processes.
  • PsyQuantum has secured a partnership with the Stanford Linear Accelerator Center to access liquid helium resources for testing and development.
  • The company's R&D labs are located in the UK, including a former synchrotron accelerator in the north of England.

Artificial Intelligence and Timeline

  • CEO Peter Leung states that AI will not significantly accelerate chip design timelines, as the semiconductor industry remains largely conservative and relies on traditional design methods.
  • AI is expected to play a critical role in the "decoder" component of the quantum computer to run error-correcting codes.
  • The long-term strategy involves using the quantum computer to generate precise training data to train conventional AI models for materials science.
  • PsyQuantum has set an aggressive "plan of record" to have the Australian site enabled by the end of 2027.
  • The company anticipates that the machine will generate significant revenue (targeting $1 billion in revenue) before being cryptographically relevant for breaking encryption.

Industry Disagreements and Risk Assessment

  • PsyQuantum argues that the industry's focus on small qubit counts (e.g., Google's 100-qubit systems) misses the scale required for commercial utility, estimated at one million qubits.
  • The company faced initial skepticism from the Australian Chief Scientist, who described her approach as "highly skeptical" before conducting an in-depth diligence process.
  • PsyQuantum successfully passed a rigorous "red-teaming" exercise by DARPA, where 50 scientists attempted to prove the technology would fail.
  • The company warns that many public quantum companies are pursuing unrealistic revenue models by selling access to useless, small-scale hardware.
  • Jensen Huang initially estimated quantum computing is 15–30 years away but has since acknowledged the necessity of million-qubit systems, aligning with PsyQuantum's thesis.
  • The company acknowledges the risk of geopolitical tension but argues that commercial utility for chemistry and materials will precede the ability to break encryption.

Future Outlook and Economic Impact

  • PsyQuantum projects the creation of thousands of jobs through its supply chain, with 80% of the supply chain based in the United States.
  • The company views quantum computing as a necessary "bridge" to overcome energy, space, and data limits facing conventional supercomputing.
  • Leadership anticipates that the technology will enable the design of new fertilizers, fuels, and drugs that are currently impossible to simulate.
  • The company believes that conventional computing is nearing the end of Moore's Law and that quantum computing is essential for continued economic progress.
  • PsyQuantum intends to avoid direct consumer interaction, aiming for the technology to function invisibly in the background of industrial and scientific advancement.