Conference Presentation, Panel
Scaling the Global Music Economy | Global Conference 2026
Milken InstituteShirley Halperin, Aaron Bay-Schuck, Wyclef Jean, Michelle Jubelirer, Harvey Mason Jr.
Industry Ecosystem Shifts (Last 5–10 Years)
- Discovery Difficulty: The volume of content has exploded to over 100,000 songs daily on Spotify, creating a cluttered environment where rising above the noise is significantly harder for both independent and signed artists.
- Power Dynamics: Influence has shifted from a top-down model where labels "bully the market" to a fan-driven ecosystem where artists hold more power than ever before.
- Long-Term Strategy: Warner Records emphasizes a "long-term artist proposition" to move artists from "performing for one" to arena headliners, prioritizing sustainable growth over instant virality.
- Data vs. Instinct: While data is used for marketing and market analysis, major label executives (Warner Records, Soft Shock) maintain that instinctual "goosebumps" feelings remain the primary driver for signing talent (e.g., Zac Bryan, Benson Boone, Teddy Swims, Sombi).
- Catalog Revitalization: Streaming has turned back catalogs into active revenue generators, with Warner Records' top streaming song last year being the 1980s track "Iris" by the Goo Goo Dolls, necessitating daily mining of legacy assets to fund frontline development.
AI and Technology Adoption
- Wyclef Jean's Stance: AI is positioned as a tool for efficiency and arrangement (e.g., generating orchestral charts in 30 minutes to save ~$250,000) rather than a replacement for human soul or creativity.
- Aaron Bay-Sick's Use Case: Warner Records uses AI to accelerate A&R processes, such as generating vocal demos to pitch songs to artists, allowing for rapid iteration that previously took weeks or months.
- Ethical Guardrails: Warner Music Group stipulates that partnerships with AI companies require the use of fully licensed models, ethical training data, and fair compensation for songwriters and artists.
- Opt-In/Opt-Out Rights: Executives advocate for artist agency, ensuring artists can choose to opt in or out of AI usage in their music.
- Industry Uncertainty: The Recording Academy acknowledges a polarized reaction among voters, ranging from demands for bans to acceptance of AI as an evolutionary tool, with no consensus yet on classification or eligibility rules.
- Current Reality: Harvey Mason Jr. notes that contemporary music already heavily utilizes AI-assisted technology in various forms, often undisclosed, though explicit generative AI remains a subject of debate.
Globalization and Market Trends
- Streaming Milestones: In 2025, the industry officially surpassed 5 trillion audio streams, marking a 10% year-over-year growth driven by on-demand subscription models.
- Language Barriers Falling: Western labels are increasingly prioritizing "vibe" over language, with English becoming a secondary consideration to musical energy; 2024 saw the first Spanish-language Album of the Year and Record of the Year at the Grammys.
- Cultural Dominance: Despite the rise of non-English genres (Afrobeats, Latin, K-Pop), the consensus is that American cultural influence remains a primary driver for global audiences.
- Underserved Development: There is a recognized need for substantial capital to fund "one-of-one" artist development globally, as current budget constraints limit the ability to nurture talent over long periods.
Structural Challenges and Future Goals
- Streaming Economics: While artists generate billions in revenue, working-class musicians face unsustainable per-stream rates, prompting calls for more equitable payment structures and profit-split deals.
- Advancement Pressures: High advances (e.g., high seven-figure checks) can inadvertently pressure artists to deliver immediate commercial returns, contradicting the typical 5–7 year timeline required for organic development.
- Mental Health Crisis: Panelists highlight a recurring cycle of artist self-destruction due to pressure, drugs, and lack of support, identifying mental health infrastructure as a critical industry priority.
- Diversity in Leadership: Michelle Jubelirer identifies the non-diverse power structure of the music business as a fundamental flaw that fails to represent the actual demographic of modern artists and culture.
- Need for Collective Leadership: Harvey Mason Jr. calls for the industry to collectively anticipate disruptions (like streaming and AI) rather than reacting defensively, emphasizing the need for a unified front to prepare the creative community.
- Legacy Systems: The industry struggles with archaic bylaws and metrics (e.g., Gold/Platinum certifications, "catalog" definitions) designed for the 20th century that do not align with modern consumption patterns.