Interview, Fireside Chat
Sheel Mohnot: Lessons from Investing in Flexport and Missing on Robinhood | 20VC #917
Career Trajectory and Fund Formation
- Sheil began his venture career after two successful exits as a founder (acquired in 2012 and 2015) and a subsequent mentorship role at 500 Startups.
- He co-founded Better Tomorrow Ventures (BTV) in late 2019 with Jake Gibson (co-founder of NerdWallet) after rejecting offers from bureaucratic tier-one funds.
- The firm specializes exclusively in the FinTech category, requiring them to choose single winners in a space rather than diversifying across competitors.
- Sheil attributes his low-burn lifestyle and lack of material desire to a year living on $1/day in India working in microfinance.
Portfolio Strategy and Capital Allocation
- BTV targets 10–15% ownership in initial checks, aiming to average closer to 12–13% in Fund 2 compared to 10% in Fund 1.
- Initial investment checks for Fund 2 are structured as $2 million into a $3–4 million round, with a 60% reserve allocation dedicated to follow-on investments.
- The fund maintains a concentrated portfolio of approximately 30 companies, investing in 10 new startups annually over a three-year fund life.
- Sheil admits to a major regret from Fund 1: failing to sell secondary stakes in winning companies during 2021 high valuations, noting he could have returned 25x on an $8M fund.
- The firm prioritizes capital-efficient businesses, learning from a $230M exit at a $2.5M entry valuation that outperformed a $900M company with higher dilution.
- BTV actively seeks to grow ownership percentages over time, successfully increasing positions in winners from 10% to 13% through strategic follow-ons.
Investment Philosophy and Lessons from Misses
- Sheil identifies "Robinhood" and "Chime" as significant misses, noting he failed to see how mobile-first models could unlock new retail investor demographics and how execution could succeed where previous neobanking models (like Simple) failed.
- The fund avoids "spray and pray" index approaches, preferring a hands-on model where they introduce founders to Series A/B investors to prevent being cut out of pro-rata rights.
- Collaboration in the seed stage is viewed as increasing compared to the past, evidenced by multi-stage funds accepting lower ownership thresholds (e.g., 8–9% at Series A) to share risk.
- Sheil advises emerging market companies to pivot immediately to free cash flow positivity, a shift he notes is culturally difficult for teams built on "aggressive growth" mindsets.
- Fund 1 managers are warned against price discipline failures, specifically investing in seed companies at inflated $50M+ valuations during the 2021 aberration.
Geographic Outlook and Emerging Markets
- Sheil predicts a retrenchment from high-risk emerging markets (Africa, Pakistan) due to higher interest rates, while noting resilience in markets with homegrown ecosystems (India, Latin America).
- Specific regional concerns include the recent shutdown of Pakistan's Airlift and financial struggles for Africa's Flutterwave, signaling capital withdrawal from frontier markets.
- Despite macro headwinds, Sheil views Latin America as having a robust pipeline, citing the success of Nubank as proof of continued U.S. investor appetite.
- BTV's portfolio includes shielded companies like Chipper Cash, which maintain momentum despite the challenging macro environment for emerging market capital.
Personal Insights and Future Outlook
- Sheil views a 10% GP commitment of personal net worth as a reasonable cap, warning that higher commitments can lead to conflicts of interest, such as selling secondary stakes for personal liquidity (e.g., buying a house).
- His biggest professional regret is not securing higher ownership stakes in early-stage deals, despite founders expressing a desire for him to own more of the company.
- Looking forward to 2027, Sheil aims for Better Tomorrow Ventures to be the global top-choice partner for fintech founders regardless of geography.
- Personally, Sheil plans to continue exploring global opportunities with no fixed career path change, though he expresses openness to the possibility of fatherhood.