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Panel, Conference Presentation

The Rise of Blockchain: How To Trust Strangers

  • Ripple expects customer acceptance to accelerate from one new sign-up per month to one every six days, citing a shift where institutions are more comfortable with blockchain than a year ago.
  • The company claims to lead the sector with 100 customers in production, a volume it asserts no other blockchain entity has reached.
  • Market interest is anticipated to grow significantly over the next few years, driven by corporate digitalization requirements and a new economic model seeking higher-value goods.
  • Sapendo Mahanti predicts short-term infrastructure decentralization to trusted market operators while governments and central banks retain governance and risk management.
  • Long-term governance models for decentralized operators are expected to evolve, potentially separating operational data hubs from core technology deployment to isolate efficiency from policy.
  • Regulators are currently concerned with governance, and a fully trustless system is deemed too premature without a framework for contract initiation and risk control.
  • Tim Liu projects that niche industries will benefit from blockchain solutions that increase pricing for premium goods and improve financial profits as companies connect with US or UK global platforms.
  • Tim Liu anticipates that China's growing middle class and demand for quality of life will drive specific demand for blockchain in supply chain management.
  • Industry capacity is expected to require approximately two years to mature for handling mission-critical application volumes.
  • Katie Rusla predicts the most significant future headline will be regulators gaining a firm grasp of blockchain, followed by the industry realization that the technology is not a universal solution.
  • Global cross-border public service access is anticipated to become feasible as infrastructure builds upon existing models like those in Estonia.
  • Identity data on blockchains faces a specific risk: mixing it with the network creates permanent records where access cannot be revoked, potentially leading to issues with unrevokable fake data.
  • Core blockchain utility is expected to focus on cross-border transfers as the industry's most impactful application, which has not yet been fully solved.
  • Digital assets require fundamental use cases to hold value; specifically, Bitcoin's value depends on its ability to process transactions at a regular, predictable pace and low cost.
  • Corey Johnson believes XRP will gain greater value if it proves to be superior technology, while the industry may move toward regulated exchanges to stabilize token uncertainty.
  • Sapendo Mahanti's projects with SGX and NASDAQ aim to tokenize assets beyond securities, including physical assets, to understand the associated technology, policy, and risks.
  • The government sector is expected to be highly impacted by blockchain for healthcare, housing, and social systems, with voting also identified as a major area of change.
  • Current technology is not mature enough to replace core banking systems for high-frequency parallel processing, though it is sufficient for supply chain management and trust-building.
The Rise of Blockchain: How To Trust Strangers — Outlook