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  1. Goldman Sachs21 min

    Shifting supply and demand dynamics buffer oil market

    Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stryven

    Brent crude currently trades near $80 per barrel with a modest geopolitical risk premium, supported by U.S. supply dominance and OPEC+ strategies to avoid extreme price spikes that could hinder Saudi Vision 2030. While global demand faces downside risks from China, growth in India and the United States keeps prices range-bound, with refined products and gasoline expected to hit summer peaks of $3.70 per gallon due to refining tightness. Simultaneously, the market anticipates a structural shift toward critical minerals like copper as EV penetration rises, while European natural gas markets face potential oversupply by 2026 and gold prices rise on expectations of lower U.S. interest rates.

  2. Goldman Sachs26 min

    The Delta Variant: Implications for Vaccines, Booster Shots and Economic Growth

    Terence Flynn, Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan

    Global discussions on the Delta variant highlight its heightened transmissibility and the robust protection of mRNA vaccines against severe disease, even as efficacy against mild symptomatic infection varies by region. Industry strategies are shifting toward booster programs for high-risk populations and the development of multivalent vaccines to address waning immunity and emerging threats. Concurrently, economic forecasts have been revised downward due to persistent case spikes in specific regions, supply chain bottlenecks, and consumer risk aversion slowing recovery in the United States and Asia-Pacific.