Don Stryven
Showing 1–2 of 2 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
Recession watch: How to hedge now
Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan, Don Stryven
Recorded on April 8, 2025, Goldman Sachs analysts presented a strategic pivot toward hedging with commodities, projecting a 10% rise in gold to $3,300 per ounce under stagnation while forecasting a decline to $55 per barrel for Brent crude by 2026. The presentation detailed a "long gold, short oil" portfolio architecture designed to capitalize on anticipated Fed rate cuts and supply surges, respectively, with recession scenarios potentially pushing gold toward $4,250 or oil below $40. Additionally, the analysis highlighted copper's resilient long-term outlook driven by supply deficits, despite near-term volatility exacerbated by U.S. tariff announcements.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Shifting supply and demand dynamics buffer oil market
Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stryven
Brent crude currently trades near $80 per barrel with a modest geopolitical risk premium, supported by U.S. supply dominance and OPEC+ strategies to avoid extreme price spikes that could hinder Saudi Vision 2030. While global demand faces downside risks from China, growth in India and the United States keeps prices range-bound, with refined products and gasoline expected to hit summer peaks of $3.70 per gallon due to refining tightness. Simultaneously, the market anticipates a structural shift toward critical minerals like copper as EV penetration rises, while European natural gas markets face potential oversupply by 2026 and gold prices rise on expectations of lower U.S. interest rates.