Latest Interviews
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs30 min
From Assets to Alpha: David Kostin on US Equities
Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Koston forecasts a 20%+ return for U.S. stocks in 2026 based on economic stability and earnings growth, while distinguishing between the fundamentally grounded public AI market and a potentially bubble-ridden private sector driven by reflexive capital inflows. Despite projecting long-term annualized returns of 6.5% over the next decade, Koston identifies immediate opportunities in undervalued healthcare, stable middle-income consumer sectors, and AI-driven revenue generators as institutional funds struggle to outperform benchmarks. As Koston transitions from the Chief U.S. Equity Strategist role to an Advisory Director position in 2026, his successor Ben Snyder will inherit a market characterized by high concentration risk and shifting investor behavior from asset accumulation to alpha generation.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Should investors worry about market concentration?
David Kostin, Owen Lamont, Alison Nathan
Strategists David Kostin and Owen Lamont converge on the projection that U.S. equity markets face a decade of sub-10% returns driven by extreme concentration and elevated valuations, though they diverge on whether the top ten stocks' dominance itself constitutes the primary risk. Kostin warns that the current 36% market cap concentration creates a negative equity risk premium and recommends shifting to equal-weighted indices, while Lamont argues that future volatility will stem from AI-driven creative destruction and mean reversion rather than portfolio structure. Both analysts acknowledge that the sustainability of the "magnificent seven's" growth and potential AI bubbles remain critical variables that could accelerate a decline in market performance over the next ten years.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Equity Bear Market: A Paradigm Shift?
Allison Nathan, Cathie Wood, Cliff Asness, David Kostin, Kathy Wood
ARK Invest's Kathy Wood, AQR Capital's Cliff Asness, and Goldman Sachs' David Koston analyze the current market correction as a response to surging interest rates and inflation that has severely impacted unprofitable growth stocks. While Wood advocates for a return to high-growth disruptive sectors based on long-term innovation and temporary supply shocks, Asness and Koston argue for sustained value tilts or profitable growth strategies to navigate a structural shift toward higher cost-of-capital realities. The panelists converge on identifying rate-driven valuation regressions but diverge on whether the trend represents a permanent paradigm shift or a cyclical opportunity to acquire quality assets at depressed prices.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
As Rates Reprice and Stocks Sell Off, What’s Next?
David Kostin, Jonathan Shugar, Allison Nathan
Amidst a shift in market expectations toward four Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2022, a broad sell-off has disproportionately punished low-margin technology stocks while cyclicals like energy and materials outperformed. Goldman Sachs forecasts record corporate net margins of 12.5% and steady 8% growth driven by margin expansion, supported by $1.25 trillion in planned share buybacks and potential M&A activity. As institutional investors adopt more tactical hedging strategies, the primary market focus remains on whether corporations can successfully pass inflationary costs to consumers without volume degradation during the upcoming earnings season.