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Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs20 min
Can Markets Withstand AI Risks, Fed Hikes, and Oil Shocks?
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson
Dominic and Josh analyze how supply shortages in AI infrastructure and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are creating a complex investment environment driven by oil market friction and Federal Reserve policy shifts. While the S&P 500 remains near record highs, the duo warns that diverging market performance from lived economic reality, combined with intensifying inflation pressures and a move away from central bank guidance, signals potential volatility ahead. Consequently, they highlight a strategic pivot toward the long end of the yield curve and credit markets, suggesting that concentrated asset exposure is prudent as liquidity is expected to thin in the coming months.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Has the AI rally gone too far?
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson, Tom
Market analysts Josh Shiffrin and Dominick Wilson assess a resilient global economy driven by record-high AI capital expenditure and robust US and Korean earnings, while identifying unresolved geopolitical tensions in Iran as the primary downside risk. Although speculative excesses have emerged in semiconductor sectors and credit markets remain tight, the consensus predicts the Federal Reserve will maintain a "watch and wait" stance with rate cuts unlikely until 2026 unless labor markets soften significantly. Consequently, investors are advised to hedge against energy supply shocks and position for a long-term dollarization trend as Asian markets outperform a lagging Europe.