Latest Interviews
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs12 min
The Bond Market May Be the Stock Market's Biggest Risk
Tony Pasquariello, Chris Hussey
Goldman Sachs economists led by Tony Pasquarello analyze a unique macro environment where aggressive Fed rate hikes collide with a $1.3 trillion AI investment surge and a $2 trillion fiscal deficit. This dual impulse is sustaining robust economic growth despite decelerating corporate earnings and rising bond yields, which Pasquarello identifies as the primary risk to equity valuations. Consequently, institutional strategies are shifting toward defensive bond positioning while favoring specific trades in Japanese domestic indices and anticipating significant market volatility ahead of the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls report.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
Can Stocks Rally With a Hawkish Fed?
Tony Pasquariello, Josh Schiffrin, Dominic Wilson
A panel of financial experts analyzes shifting market expectations for a tightening cycle of two to four rate hikes, emphasizing that oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel remain the critical variable for future inflation and a potential Federal Reserve pivot. Current fixed income and equity markets reflect a "higher yield world" driven by AI capital competition and fiscal deficits, yet demonstrate resilience with U.S. GDP projected to hold near 2% and unemployment trending lower despite energy headwinds. Strategists suggest that while the environment remains range-bound, a decisive drop in oil prices could catalyze an all-assets rally, prompting recommendations to utilize call options for the upside while monitoring the Fed's hawkish stance.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Will Fed Cuts Drive Stocks Higher?
Tony Pasquariello, Chris Hussey
The Federal Reserve signaled a trajectory of five rate cuts over the next few years while revising upward its growth and inflation expectations, a move Goldman Sachs views as consistent with its internal forecasts despite minor timing differences. Investment strategists advocate for a continued focus on US big-cap technology and Japan due to strong earnings momentum and shareholder reforms, while remaining cautious about European markets and potential valuation compression in the US. Market participants will closely monitor upcoming employment data and the evolving US labor landscape as volatility is expected to rise following the October earnings reporting season.