Latest Interviews
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs14 min
Oil Market Impacts from Iran
Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stroivind
A U.S. and Israeli military campaign against Iran resulted in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, triggering a significant disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and causing Brent crude prices to surge 25% year-to-date. While Goldman Sachs forecasts a base case of no sustained supply interruptions with prices stabilizing by late 2026, the market currently prices in a risk premium for a potential one-month closure that could drive costs to triple digits. As global spare capacity remains trapped by the blockade and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels remain low, the situation presents immediate inflationary risks and elevated geopolitical tail risks for Gulf Cooperation Council infrastructure.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
Recession watch: How to hedge now
Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan, Don Stryven
Recorded on April 8, 2025, Goldman Sachs analysts presented a strategic pivot toward hedging with commodities, projecting a 10% rise in gold to $3,300 per ounce under stagnation while forecasting a decline to $55 per barrel for Brent crude by 2026. The presentation detailed a "long gold, short oil" portfolio architecture designed to capitalize on anticipated Fed rate cuts and supply surges, respectively, with recession scenarios potentially pushing gold toward $4,250 or oil below $40. Additionally, the analysis highlighted copper's resilient long-term outlook driven by supply deficits, despite near-term volatility exacerbated by U.S. tariff announcements.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
Why oil and gold prices could keep rising
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have elevated regional war risks, potentially disrupting oil supply despite six million barrels per day of spare capacity held by UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait. While Goldman Sachs forecasts Brent crude between $70 and $85 for 2025 driven by U.S. demand growth, a Strait of Hormuz closure could spike prices to triple digits, whereas China's modest economic stimulus limits demand expansion. Simultaneously, gold prices are projected to rise to $2,900 by early next year as central bank diversification and a global monetary easing cycle provide structural support, making gold a superior hedge against non-supply driven macroeconomic risks.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Oil’s extended reign? Adapting to a new era in oil markets
Daan Struyven, Nikhil Bhandari, Alison Nathan, Dan Stroivin
Goldman Sachs projects global oil demand will peak around 2034 rather than 2024, driven by emerging market growth in India and China where jet fuel and petrochemical consumption continue to rise despite stagnating EV sales in developed economies. The bank forecasts Brent crude to trade between $75 and $90 per barrel through 2026, supported by OPEC spare capacity, before supply risks intensify in the latter half of the decade due to underinvestment in long-cycle projects and structural tightness in the refining sector. Political outcomes in the 2024 US election may further influence prices through potential sanctions on Iran or changes to EV incentives, with the firm recommending gold over oil as a primary hedge against policy-driven inflation.