Latest Interviews

The Economics of AI Usage and What's Next For SaaS | Benedict Evans on a16z

Benedict Evans, Erik Torenberg

Benedict Evans analyzes the rapid transition of agentic coding into a definitive product-market fit, noting how massive CapEx investment by major tech firms is currently creating a disequilibrium between supply and demand. He argues that while foundation models may eventually become low-margin commodities akin to mobile infrastructure, the immediate future involves significant adoption challenges and a divergence between deep workflow integration and superficial usage. Ultimately, Evans suggests that AI will drive profound economic restructuring and invisible automation, though the primary financial value will likely accrue to application-layer companies rather than the model providers themselves.

Why Secondary Markets Are Eating the IPO | All-In Liquidity Secondary Markets Panel

Brad Gerstner, Gavin Baker, Kelly Rodriques, Chamath, Jason, Friedberg, Naval, Thomas Lafont, Keller

In Q1 2025, the private market established secondary trading as a primary exit mechanism for late-stage companies like Anduril and SpaceX, with employee transactions accounting for 31% of primary venture activity as shares shifted to a premium valuation. Institutional players such as Schwab and Vanguard are democratizing access through regulated interval funds, prompting a structural shift where venture capital firms actively manage capital recycling to return liquidity to limited partners. While panelists identify AI infrastructure and space logistics as key investment areas within a "parabolic" but fundamentally sound market, they also warn of emerging regulatory pressures and the risks of retail investors lacking the discipline to navigate cyclical drawdowns.

What SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic's IPOs mean for investors | The Economist

Joshua Roberts, Jason Palmer

SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are executing simultaneous "giga IPOs" projected to inject up to $4 trillion into the US stock market, driven by urgent capital needs and a strategic push to capitalize on AI-driven market euphoria. While index providers plan to rapidly integrate these valuations into benchmarks like the S&P 500 within days, analysts warn that high price-to-sales multiples and historical IPO underperformance trends suggest significant risks of price volatility and subsequent declines for early investors. This surge marks a structural shift where tech giants prioritize massive capital raising over shareholder returns, potentially reversing previous capital flows as firms speculate on future revenue streams like Mars colonization and space-based data centers.

Emergent: How Six Months of Tinkering Led To A $100M ARR Company

Mukund Jha, Jared Friedman

Emergent is an AI-driven platform founded by Dunzo alumni Mukund and Madhav that enables non-programmers to build and monetize functional software through natural language interaction. Operating with a 95% Bangalore-based engineering team, the company has scaled to an $100 million annual recurring revenue run rate and serves over 8.5 million users by leveraging a proprietary multi-agent architecture that ranks first on industry coding benchmarks. The platform distinguishes itself by focusing on end-to-end software execution rather than prototypes, having shipped over 10 million applications globally within its first nine months of operation.

Copper: AI Hype or Supply Squeeze?

Adam Crook, Tony Kim

A commodities strategist analyzes the divergence between gold's resilient safe-haven performance during the Iran conflict and the skepticism regarding its near-term upside caused by shifting macro rates. The trader assesses silver's limited upside potential due to its tight correlation with gold, while maintaining a neutral stance on copper despite AI-driven demand narratives that conflict with current global surplus levels. Finally, the outlook for aluminum projects a temporary physical deficit and price appreciation through summer before a surplus is expected to emerge following the resumption of Middle Eastern production later in the decade.

Stanford MS&E435 Economics of the AI Supercycle | Spring 2026 | Applications, Applied AI

Tuhin Srivastava, Apoorv Agrawal, Doohan

Base10, led by CEO Toohin, provides a managed inference infrastructure that powers over 30 trillion tokens daily by aggregating 18 clouds to optimize costs for custom open-source AI models. The company differentiates itself from hyperscalers by abstracting complex hardware management and enabling customers to post-train proprietary models, a strategy driven by a thesis that GPU scarcity will remain permanent as agentic demand grows exponentially. With a projected capital expenditure of $7 billion to secure 150,000 B200 equivalents, Base10 aims to industrialize AI deployment through modular data centers and a transition from compute markup to token-based pricing.

Dan Loeb: The Lost Art of Short Selling, and Why Stock Picking is Back

Dan Loeb, Chamath, Jason, Friedberg

Third Point founder Dan Loeb outlines his firm's strategic evolution toward a multi-platform model managing nearly $30 billion in assets, which integrates hedge fund operations, private credit, and insurance to capitalize on selectivity in a shifting bond-and-credit market. Loeb details aggressive investment tactics including shorting the housing sector and bullish positions on NVIDIA, while emphasizing the irreplaceable human element in assessing character alongside technological literacy. Beyond finance, the narrative highlights Loeb's high-profile criminal justice reform efforts, specifically the successful advocacy for the pardon of Ross Ulbricht, and his philanthropic focus on education reform to address income inequality.

Why are Gen-Z socialists obsessed with taxing billionaires? | The Economist

Generational shifts are driving a move from traditional progressive taxation toward novel levies on immovable wealth, exemplified by New York's new pied-à-terre tax on non-resident luxury properties. While economists debate whether targeting static assets like real estate avoids the innovation-killing pitfalls of direct billionaire wealth taxes, the discourse is increasingly expanding to include inheritance reform and one-off proposals in states like California. As AI-driven IPOs generate new ultra-high-net-worth individuals, this debate is poised to redefine fiscal policy beyond the narrow "billionaire" label in both the US and UK.

Will European Equities Outperform the S&P?

Sharon Bell, Chris Hussey

European equities have surged to near all-time highs driven by a 6–7% average upgrade in earnings estimates within the commodity and financial sectors, supported by resilient economic growth and planned German fiscal spending. Goldman Sachs has raised its 12-month Euro Stoxx 600 forecast to 660, citing the region's broader market breadth and the underappreciated potential of heavy asset companies in defense, aerospace, and utilities that are benefiting from global infrastructure and defense spending. While analysts project high single-digit returns for Europe over the coming year, the market is expected to trail U.S. and Asian performance due to lower energy independence and the concentration of tech dominance in American hyperscalers.

Future of Storytelling: A Conversation with Laurene Powell Jobs & Darren Walker | Global Conference

Laurene Powell Jobs, Darren Walker, Davis Guggenheim

Former Ford Foundation president Darren Walker has assumed the role of CEO at Anonymous Content, a strategic move intended to restore the studio's institutional stability following the grief-stricken vacancy left by founder Steve Golan. Walker and board member Lorraine Twohill position the leadership transition as a response to an evolving media landscape characterized by evaporating legacy revenue and a critical distribution bottleneck, leveraging the studio's independence from private equity to fund long-term, high-risk storytelling. Together, the new leadership emphasizes a renewed focus on human-centric narratives that bridge physical and digital divides, aiming to reset industry confidence through projects that prioritize universal resonance over activist didacticism.

Rising airfares no match for a consumer going full throttle on experiences

Andrew Didora, TJ Thornton

Presented at the May 20th BVA conference, airline executives and analysts projected flat domestic capacity for mid-2026 to match a 21% year-over-year fare increase while relying on AI to optimize margins rather than drive demand. Concurrently, leisure market data highlights a persistent K-shaped recovery where premium segments like cruises and wellness outperform, supported by high-income consumers less sensitive to rising prices. Sector outlooks indicate that capacity discipline will remain the primary airline strategy throughout the second half of 2026, contingent on geopolitical stability and oil price trends.

Conductor CEO Charlie Holtz Walks Us Through His AI Coding Setup

Charlie Holtz

Charlie, co-founder of Conductor, leads a team developing a macOS application that orchestrates multiple coding agents to generate software primarily in TypeScript and Rust. The platform enforces a strict non-terminal workflow where AI handles code generation while humans intervene only through specific review modes to maintain quality and prevent error cycles. With a strategic focus on high-efficiency model selection and a future roadmap emphasizing malleable, modifiable agents, Conductor positions itself as a tool that shifts software value from code itself to human-authored prompts and descriptions.

Tom Mueller: SpaceX's #1 Employee Built the Merlin Engine. Now He's Building Impulse Space

Tom Mueller, Molly O'Shea

Former SpaceX founding employee Tom Mueller founded Impulse Space to revolutionize intra-orbital transport with its fleet of advanced spacecraft, including the orbital transfer vehicle Mira and the heavy-lift Helios. The company leverages proprietary Nova Light alloy and additive manufacturing to produce the Deneb hydrocarbon engine and lightweight composite tanks, achieving performance metrics that could significantly boost payload delivery to the Moon and Mars. Currently advancing lunar infrastructure efforts through successful rendezvous tests and an active lander contract bid, Impulse Space combines in-house manufacturing with AI-driven design to support a future lunar economy.

Bill Ackman: Here's What the Market is MISSING

Bill Ackman, Chamath, Jason, David

Howard Ackman outlines a strategic evolution at Pershing Square toward concentrated long-term holdings in high-quality businesses, leveraging deep board involvement to counteract market short-termism and capitalize on undervalued legacy tech giants amidst AI-driven disruption. His approach extends to late-stage founder-led ventures like SpaceX and XAI, which he values through a venture capital lens of people and opportunity, while simultaneously repurposing the Howard Hughes Corporation into a "Berkshire 2.0" model that utilizes real estate cash flows to fund an insurance float for tax-efficient capital compounding. Ackman further explains how social media dynamics now enable persistent narratives to influence valuations, supporting a three-vehicle investment structure that includes a royalty-based management company, a public discount vehicle, and a transformed real estate holding to deliver sustained growth over decades.

Must Read Research: Size of the Market, World Cup & Paper Goods, Energy Contingencies, and LatAm ...

Candace Browning

Market analysis highlights record U.S. equity holdings and a 40% S&P 500 concentration in Big AI firms, while the North American World Cup is projected to drive beverage demand and aluminum packaging premiums. Simultaneously, investors await oil price shocks below $65 per barrel despite robust long-term supply from the Permian and Canada, and Latin American macro stability hinges on the 2026 election cycle, particularly Brazil's ability to meet its fiscal surplus targets.