Latest Interviews
Showing 16–23 of 23 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs25 min
How companies, private equity firms, and institutional investors are navigating the global economy
Goldman Sachs executive Jim Esposito outlines a global economic landscape marked by regional divergence, shifting private equity dynamics, and a pivot from "hard landing" fears to a "soft landing" consensus. While corporate balance sheets are historically strong and commodity prices signal recovery, the event highlights persistent risks stemming from geopolitical fragmentation, an anemic IPO market, and liquidity concerns within the unregulated non-bank sector. Esposito anticipates that despite these challenges and an approaching U.S. election, the financial system remains resilient due to post-2008 regulatory safeguards and continued private sector innovation.
- Goldman Sachs28 min
Investing during times of market stress
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alison Nathan
The panel outlines a structural market shift from the stable "buy and hold" era to a volatile late-cycle environment where traditional 60-40 portfolios face reduced efficacy due to positive equity-bond correlations and persistent inflation risks. Experts advocate for dynamic tactical allocation strategies that incorporate gold, international equities, and private markets to diversify away from stressed public assets, while cautioning that low realized equity volatility masks a significant rotation toward mega-cap tech that obscures underlying recessionary tail risks. With the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting expectations largely priced in, portfolio managers are urged to prioritize quality equities and defensive positioning as the US labor market and debt ceiling remain critical catalysts for potential market repricing.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
M&A in 2023: A complex but optimistic outlook for deal-making
Stephan Feldgoise, Mark Sorrell, Alison Nathan, Stefan Felgoys
The 2022 M&A market experienced a sharp downturn in the second half driven by rising interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty, which caused private equity activity to slow while strategic deals and mega-transactions remained resilient due to strong balance sheets. As valuation gaps widened between public and private sectors, boards shifted their focus from growth multiples to cost of capital, prompting a surge in structured transactions and increased activism targeting operational improvements. Looking toward 2023, Goldman Sachs projects a recovery fueled by record private capital liquidity and attractive valuations, provided financing markets stabilize enough to allow debt syndication without prolonged deal delays.
- Goldman Sachs17 min
Taking Stock: What’s Ahead for US Markets
Goldman Sachs projects the S&P 500 to remain in bear market territory through early 2023, with a baseline forecast of closing at 3,600 before potentially dropping to 3,150 if aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes trigger a recession. Investors are currently adopting a risk-off stance by reducing leverage and holding higher cash levels, reflecting a market shift where positive real yields favor safe assets over equities as inflation remains stubborn. While the energy sector is expected to drive Q3 earnings growth, the broader market faces margin compression and earnings declines outside of energy, delaying a market recovery until inflation clarity emerges in mid-2023.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Investing with Oaktree Capital Management’s Howard Marks
Howard Marks, Katie Koch, Alison Nathan
Howard Marks characterizes the mid-2022 market environment as a corrected balance where significant public equity markdowns have created attractively valued opportunities absent from private markets. Rejecting macroeconomic forecasts, Marks outlines Oaktree's crisis strategy of deploying capital when others retreat, a methodology built on historical conditioning and the principle that price matters more than asset quality. His 35-year partnership with Bruce Karsh further reinforces this discipline through complementary governance, ensuring joint conviction remains high during market dislocations.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Investing with KKR’s Tara Davies
Tara Davies, Alison Mass, Alison Nathan
On March 17, 2022, KKR Partner Tara Davies outlined a strategic pivot toward inflation-resistant real assets, emphasizing infrastructure's ability to hedge rising costs through revenue pass-through mechanisms while navigating a competitive market landscape. Davies detailed KKR's sector-agnostic approach to classifying assets by complexity rather than industry, prioritizing pricing power to protect margins amid supply chain disruptions and operational risks. The discussion further highlighted the firm's commitment to decarbonizing existing "brown" assets through granular operational improvements rather than divestment, alongside a leadership philosophy that values constructive debate and people skills over pure analytical modeling.
- Goldman Sachs31 min
A ‘Seismic’ Shift in Private Markets
Goldman Sachs co-president Mike Kester outlines a private market sector growing to $10 trillion that is undergoing a seismic shift toward individual investor participation while navigating a fundraising slowdown driven by the denominator effect. Despite regulatory pressures and a transition away from financial engineering toward active operational management, the industry continues to deliver consistent excess returns and is prioritizing sectors like infrastructure and life sciences. Kester projects that while capital raising will decelerate and valuation reporting standards will tighten, systemic risk remains low due to the pre-syndication of risk to long-term limited partners.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
What the Fed’s Hawkish Pivot Means for Economic Growth and Markets
David Mericle, Brian Friedman, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs has revised its 2022 Federal Reserve interest rate hike forecast to seven increases driven by wage growth incompatible with inflation targets, projecting balance sheet reductions to begin in June. While financial conditions remain tighter with record credit outflows and equity exposure hitting yearly lows, the firm attributes greater recessionary risk to the fading of pandemic-era fiscal stimulus than to monetary policy. Consequently, the research recommends a long-equity, short-credit strategy and identifies emerging market currencies as attractive assets amid a global divergence where developing central banks have largely finished tightening.