Latest Interviews
Showing 16–30 of 56 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs10 min
Untangling Signals of Market Stress
Markets are navigating extreme volatility driven by unresolved geopolitical conflicts, evidenced by a VIX spike to 30, oil approaching $100 per barrel, and S&P 500 futures depth collapsing to $3.8 million from historical averages. Institutional investors are executing heavy macro hedges and shorting broad products while rotating capital into U.S. equities as a safe haven, despite record trading volumes and degraded liquidity quality. The near-term market trajectory hinges on consecutive negative jobs data potentially destabilizing retail sentiment, though a return to geopolitical clarity is expected to trigger a rapid unwinding of macro shorts and a rotation back into Asian and European assets.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
New Worries
Josh Schiffrin, Chris Hussey, Josh Shiprin
Goldman Sachs Chief Strategy Officer Josh Shiprin highlighted that geopolitical instability and surging oil prices have overshadowed recent payrolls data, creating a complex stagflationary environment that complicates the Federal Reserve's outlook. While maintaining confidence in an impending rate cut, Shiprin warned that the duration of the conflict could alter the timing of reductions and urged investors to adopt a long-term strategy focused on a steepening U.S. 2s10s yield curve amidst heightened market uncertainty.
- Goldman Sachs13 min
$120 Oil Ahead?
Goldman Sachs' Jerome Dortmans warns that the Iran conflict has disrupted 20% of global oil and LNG output, creating unhedgeable supply shortages that could deplete strategic reserves within days. He forecasts prices will surge toward $100–$120 per barrel if the disruption persists beyond three days, with diesel and jet fuel facing the most severe immediate constraints. Dortmans cautions that market complacency is dangerous, predicting material inflationary impacts that will primarily affect major importers like China and India as geopolitical priorities shift away from Western refining systems.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
A New Way to Trade Emerging Markets
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Global emerging market equities have surged 15% year-to-date on $45 billion in inflows, driven by strong earnings fundamentals and a weaker US dollar that specifically benefits non-China regions like Korea and Brazil. While broad markets rally, China lags due to a lack of earnings growth and tariff headwinds, prompting investors to shift capital toward Latin American assets and structural plays like call spreads to manage valuation risks. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish stance on this "EM ex-China" exposure, citing anticipated Brazilian interest rate cuts and election cycles as key catalysts for continued, albeit slower, appreciation.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Still Bullish on Gold
Competing demand from central banks and private investors is driving a self-reinforcing rally in gold prices, while Goldman Sachs forecasts a 2026 target of $5,400 based on declining Federal Reserve rates and fiscal debasement fears. The silver market is experiencing extreme volatility due to a severe liquidity squeeze in London vaults, which Goldman Sachs expects to persist despite the metal's potential as a speculative vehicle. Although geopolitical tensions are fueling broader commodity stockpiling, the firm distinguishes gold's constrained supply as superior to the scalable nature of non-precious metals like copper, which limits their capacity for a sustained super cycle.
- Goldman Sachs13 min
Stock Market Shakeout
Shawn Tuteja, Chris Hussey, Sean Tatasia
Following the most significant volatility since the onset of the COVID pandemic on February 4th, U.S. equities underwent a structural risk reduction driven by excessive long positioning rather than a fundamental market shift. Despite record shorting activity and a divergence between legacy tech and cyclical sectors, the bull market thesis remains intact supported by 11% earnings growth and strong macroeconomic indicators. Market strategists now recommend capitalizing on the recent dip by shifting focus toward the "AI productivity" phase, targeting non-technology companies like banks and retailers that leverage artificial intelligence to improve margins.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Finding Opportunities in Financials
Christian DeGrasse, Chris Hussey
Recent earnings revisions and a widening yield curve have driven upward momentum for large and regional banks, supported by improved loan growth and resilient consumer credit quality. Despite a recent sell-off in technology and private credit sectors, analysts view the financial industry as undervalued with positive catalysts expected from upcoming regulatory clarifications and AI-driven operational efficiencies. Looking ahead to 2026, the sector is projected to modestly outperform, although investors remain cautious about potential macro risks such as rising unemployment and soft pricing in the property and casualty insurance market.
- Goldman Sachs12 min
Long Gold and Long Stocks
Goldman Sachs' Anshul Sehgal characterizes the current economic landscape as an ambiguous phase driven by a projected $1 trillion AI capital expenditure wave, which he compares to a new industrialization era comparable to Detroit's mid-20th century automotive boom. While anticipating a bimodal distribution for Federal Reserve interest rates, Sehgal argues that structural disinflationary forces from technology and demographics will likely offset inflationary pressures from geopolitical fragmentation and a shifting global reserve asset mix toward gold. Consequently, the firm advocates a portfolio "barbell" strategy balancing growth equities with physical commodities to navigate potential K-shaped labor market shifts and capitalize on expected double-digit global growth over the next decade.
- Goldman Sachs12 min
“A Massive Broadening Trade”
Rich Privorotsky, Chris Hussey
Global markets are pivoting from a narrative of fading geopolitical risk to one dominated by Japanese bond volatility and a surging "real asset" rally driven by central bank diversification and inflation expectations. While U.S. mega-cap tech faces valuation compression due to AI investment concerns, capital is rotating aggressively into emerging markets and cyclical sectors like Greek banks to capitalize on a broader pro-growth strategy. As investors await critical tech earnings and Federal Reserve leadership nominations, the primary market risk remains a potential shift from rate cut expectations to aggressive hikes should U.S. labor data stabilize.
- Goldman Sachs14 min
Which Equity Markets Will Outperform?
Goldman Sachs Co-CEO Kunal Shah outlined a robust 2026 U.S. economic outlook featuring 2.8% GDP growth driven by AI-fueled capex and easing financial conditions, while warning of elevated leverage and political risks to central bank independence. The firm forecasts balanced returns across U.S., European, and Asian markets despite divergent drivers, noting that excess savings in non-U.S. regions are shifting toward domestic spending rather than external deficits. In strategic asset allocation, the firm highlights Treasury bonds for diversification if labor markets weaken and recommends gold as a hedge against de-dollarization, though it cautions against shorting credit spreads due to their historically tight levels.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
Emerging Markets Could Keep Surging
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Goldman Sachs projects MSCI Emerging Markets equities to deliver 15% returns in 2026, driven by attractive valuations, a weaker dollar, and a strategic preference for broad diversification over concentrated bets on China. The firm highlights Latin America, particularly Brazil, as a primary growth engine ahead of anticipated interest rate cuts, while also championing an "EM AI" sector expected to outperform US peers with 30% earnings growth. Analysts Stratford Dennis and Chris Hussey advise investors to monitor upcoming US employment data for Federal Reserve clarity while positioning portfolios in Taiwan, Korea, and Brazil to capture these specific opportunities.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
“We Like Bonds”
Goldman Sachs interprets recent U.S. labor data as a temporary distortion driven by the government shutdown, maintaining that the economy remains soft rather than collapsing while projecting only two Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2025. The firm advocates for an intermediate-duration bond strategy between two and five years to balance yield pickup against global term premium risks, avoiding the longer end of the curve despite tight corporate credit spreads. Market outcomes will likely pivot on whether AI-driven productivity achieves a disinflationary expansion or if a sharper labor deterioration prompts a more aggressive monetary response from the central bank.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Are More Rate Cuts Coming?
The Federal Reserve executed a third consecutive 25 basis point rate cut, adopting a dovish stance that diverged from hawkish expectations while Chair Jerome Powell signaled a lower threshold for future adjustments due to labor market concerns. Analyst Josh Schifrin forecasts the federal funds rate will fall to 3% or lower by 2026, projecting a steepening yield curve and a weakening US dollar that should support cautiously bullish equity markets driven by economic acceleration rather than monetary constraints. While long-term rate increases are viewed as compatible with risk assets, Schifrin identifies artificial intelligence thematic concerns as a primary source of potential market volatility and noted a conditional willingness to trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo to secure an NBA championship for the Knicks.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Why the Dollar Could Drop
Goldman Sachs analysts project a 5% to 10% depreciation of the U.S. dollar in the first half of next year driven by shifting fiscal concerns and the resumption of economic data releases. Market expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve rate cut and the upcoming announcement of the Trump administration's Fed Chair nominee are anticipated to accelerate a rebalancing of global allocations away from hard dollar assets. Consequently, trading strategies are increasingly favoring high-yielding emerging market currencies in Brazil and Mexico over developed market alternatives, while betting on long-term Chinese currency appreciation amid historically low volatility.
- Goldman Sachs7 min
Why Stocks Are Getting Wild
Driven by surging expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, equity markets are experiencing heightened volatility that has prompted investors to rotate capital from information technology into defensive sectors like healthcare and financials. Systematic momentum triggers and reduced liquidity have created selling pressure estimated at up to $60 billion in the near term, while strategists recommend hedging large-cap concentration through equal-weighted indices and VIX call spreads to mitigate downside risk.