Latest Interviews
Showing 31–45 of 62 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs14 min
Which Equity Markets Will Outperform?
Goldman Sachs Co-CEO Kunal Shah outlined a robust 2026 U.S. economic outlook featuring 2.8% GDP growth driven by AI-fueled capex and easing financial conditions, while warning of elevated leverage and political risks to central bank independence. The firm forecasts balanced returns across U.S., European, and Asian markets despite divergent drivers, noting that excess savings in non-U.S. regions are shifting toward domestic spending rather than external deficits. In strategic asset allocation, the firm highlights Treasury bonds for diversification if labor markets weaken and recommends gold as a hedge against de-dollarization, though it cautions against shorting credit spreads due to their historically tight levels.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
Emerging Markets Could Keep Surging
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Goldman Sachs projects MSCI Emerging Markets equities to deliver 15% returns in 2026, driven by attractive valuations, a weaker dollar, and a strategic preference for broad diversification over concentrated bets on China. The firm highlights Latin America, particularly Brazil, as a primary growth engine ahead of anticipated interest rate cuts, while also championing an "EM AI" sector expected to outperform US peers with 30% earnings growth. Analysts Stratford Dennis and Chris Hussey advise investors to monitor upcoming US employment data for Federal Reserve clarity while positioning portfolios in Taiwan, Korea, and Brazil to capture these specific opportunities.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
“We Like Bonds”
Goldman Sachs interprets recent U.S. labor data as a temporary distortion driven by the government shutdown, maintaining that the economy remains soft rather than collapsing while projecting only two Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2025. The firm advocates for an intermediate-duration bond strategy between two and five years to balance yield pickup against global term premium risks, avoiding the longer end of the curve despite tight corporate credit spreads. Market outcomes will likely pivot on whether AI-driven productivity achieves a disinflationary expansion or if a sharper labor deterioration prompts a more aggressive monetary response from the central bank.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Are More Rate Cuts Coming?
The Federal Reserve executed a third consecutive 25 basis point rate cut, adopting a dovish stance that diverged from hawkish expectations while Chair Jerome Powell signaled a lower threshold for future adjustments due to labor market concerns. Analyst Josh Schifrin forecasts the federal funds rate will fall to 3% or lower by 2026, projecting a steepening yield curve and a weakening US dollar that should support cautiously bullish equity markets driven by economic acceleration rather than monetary constraints. While long-term rate increases are viewed as compatible with risk assets, Schifrin identifies artificial intelligence thematic concerns as a primary source of potential market volatility and noted a conditional willingness to trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo to secure an NBA championship for the Knicks.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Why the Dollar Could Drop
Goldman Sachs analysts project a 5% to 10% depreciation of the U.S. dollar in the first half of next year driven by shifting fiscal concerns and the resumption of economic data releases. Market expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve rate cut and the upcoming announcement of the Trump administration's Fed Chair nominee are anticipated to accelerate a rebalancing of global allocations away from hard dollar assets. Consequently, trading strategies are increasingly favoring high-yielding emerging market currencies in Brazil and Mexico over developed market alternatives, while betting on long-term Chinese currency appreciation amid historically low volatility.
- Goldman Sachs7 min
Why Stocks Are Getting Wild
Driven by surging expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, equity markets are experiencing heightened volatility that has prompted investors to rotate capital from information technology into defensive sectors like healthcare and financials. Systematic momentum triggers and reduced liquidity have created selling pressure estimated at up to $60 billion in the near term, while strategists recommend hedging large-cap concentration through equal-weighted indices and VIX call spreads to mitigate downside risk.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Consumer Concerns and Equity Opportunities
Goldman Sachs' Scott Filer analyzes a consumer landscape marked by record-low sentiment and broad earnings weakness across retail and service sectors, driven by heightened price sensitivity and shifting pandemic-era spending trends. Despite these October headwinds, market participants anticipate a resilient holiday season as consumer activity concentrates on specific peak events rather than the "in-between" periods. Filer advises investors to favor defensive discretionary stocks, such as off-price retailers and auto parts, while avoiding traditional staples burdened by inventory destocking, ahead of potential $60 billion in stimulus spending projected for early 2026.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
How to Trade a Credit Expansion
The Federal Reserve is positioned to execute a single rate cut in December before pausing to evaluate a bifurcated economy characterized by robust top-line growth alongside a weakening labor market driven by the AI-driven rotation of resources. As the financial landscape transitions from fiscal expansion to private credit-driven growth over the next nine months, investment strategies are shifting toward precision allocation in semiconductors, metals, and emerging markets rather than broad asset ownership. While a systemic credit crisis remains unlikely given current household buffers, investors must navigate significant uncertainty surrounding the December FOMC decision by maintaining liquidity to capitalize on potential market pullbacks.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
Rise of the Retail Investor
Goldman Sachs analyzes divergent retail trading profiles across ETFs, single stocks, and options, revealing a massive shift toward AI equities and sustained "buy and hold" strategies alongside elevated short-term option activity. This heightened retail participation, combined with aggressive hedge fund alpha-seeking, has driven the largest single-stock earnings moves since 2009 and established a distinct volatility divergence between individual names and broader indices. Consequently, the firm warns against shorting based solely on high sentiment, instead noting that option sellers are currently monetizing retail demand while defensive income funds attract significant capital as investors navigate an environment of extreme stock-level volatility.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Can the China Rally Continue?
Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey
Stratford Dennis outlines a bullish strategy for Chinese equities and Brazil, anticipating a 30% upside in Chinese tech driven by attractive valuations and a 15% yield advantage in Brazil due to an upcoming interest rate cycle. While policymakers target 5% GDP growth despite US-China trade tensions, Dennis warns that a potential data vacuum from the US government shutdown could eventually widen risk profiles for emerging markets. To capitalize on these conditions, the firm is hedging against trade deal failures and executing specific trades in Brazilian equity upside calls while maintaining a light global position in Brazil.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
The Bubble Question
Following a trade war-induced volatility spike that triggered a brief S&P 500 drawdown, market resilience was demonstrated by record retail options activity and strong third-quarter earnings from major U.S. banks and luxury firms. Analysts reject systemic bubble narratives, noting that current valuations are supported by genuine earnings growth and projected $520 billion in retail net demand through 2026 rather than irrational expansion. While a modest 5–8% correction is considered plausible before the year-end, the market is underpinned by robust corporate buybacks and upcoming fiscal stimulus expected to sustain consumer spending.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Can the Rally Continue?
Ashok Varadhan maintains a constructive outlook on U.S. equities, projecting a policy interest rate normalization near 3% within the year and a market consolidation in the fourth quarter before a 2026 resumption. While advising investors to remain long and hedge downside risks through cheaply priced puts during a low-volatility environment, he identifies a structural shift away from fiat currencies into assets like Bitcoin and AI-driven stocks as a response to fiscal expansion. This strategy navigates potential Q4 risks from a government shutdown that delays critical economic data, ensuring the portfolio capitalizes on the enduring technological investment cycle while accounting for tariff absorption and crowded consensus positions.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
Hidden Volatility
Despite a S&P 500 rally driven by retail call-option activity that has inverted standard volatility skew, market strategists are utilizing inverted skew arbitrage and protective put strategies to navigate heightened single-stock risks amid potential government shutdown impacts. Although the October "boogeyman" is historically muted outside of major crises, the concentration of mega-cap tech names and upcoming AI catalysts are expected to be the primary drivers of volatility. With immediate shutdown concerns already factored into a modest market gain, attention is shifting toward Federal Reserve minutes and the delayed Non-Farm Payrolls report to guide the near-term economic outlook.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
A Contrarian Call on Europe
Despite a historic six-month equity rally, professional investors maintain a constructive stance with deployed capital levels indicating the market remains unsretched. The event highlights a divergence where European value stocks and small caps outperform US large-cap growth, while specific opportunities arise in Chinese AI and German domestic beneficiaries driven by defense spending. Participants further examine strategies to capitalize on compressed index volatility and persistent single-stock dispersion amidst upcoming inflation data and month-end rebalancing pressures.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Will Fed Cuts Drive Stocks Higher?
Tony Pasquariello, Chris Hussey
The Federal Reserve signaled a trajectory of five rate cuts over the next few years while revising upward its growth and inflation expectations, a move Goldman Sachs views as consistent with its internal forecasts despite minor timing differences. Investment strategists advocate for a continued focus on US big-cap technology and Japan due to strong earnings momentum and shareholder reforms, while remaining cautious about European markets and potential valuation compression in the US. Market participants will closely monitor upcoming employment data and the evolving US labor landscape as volatility is expected to rise following the October earnings reporting season.