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  1. Goldman Sachs11 min

    “We Like Bonds”

    Lindsay Rosner, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs interprets recent U.S. labor data as a temporary distortion driven by the government shutdown, maintaining that the economy remains soft rather than collapsing while projecting only two Federal Reserve rate cuts throughout 2025. The firm advocates for an intermediate-duration bond strategy between two and five years to balance yield pickup against global term premium risks, avoiding the longer end of the curve despite tight corporate credit spreads. Market outcomes will likely pivot on whether AI-driven productivity achieves a disinflationary expansion or if a sharper labor deterioration prompts a more aggressive monetary response from the central bank.

  2. Goldman Sachs37 min

    ‘Who’s the Next Winner?’: Diameter Capital’s Scott Goodwin

    Scott Goodwin, Michael Brandmeier, John Lewinson

    Diameter Capital leverages proprietary data analysis to navigate credit market stress, identifying distress in private credit and SaaS while capitalizing on undervalued opportunities in AI infrastructure and the X (Twitter) debt restructuring. Founded by Scott Goodwin and Jonathan Lewinson, the firm differentiates its strategy by bypassing traditional ratings to target unrated securities, a disciplined approach that generated significant returns on fiber and spectrum bets through active syndicate management with partners like Goldman Sachs. Looking ahead, the firm anticipates a prolonged AI microcycle and a gradual software sector correction, positioning its portfolio to acquire distressed assets as the market shifts from capital expenditure to actual adoption phases.

  3. a16z46 min

    How AI Will Transform Fintech In 2026

    David Haber, Zach Perret

    The fintech industry has transitioned from a post-pandemic boom and subsequent winter to a 2025 recovery phase where companies like SoFi and Revolut are prioritizing profitability over hyper-growth. Key players such as Plaid have pivoted their strategic focus from account linking to building AI-driven data infrastructure while the sector confronts a paradox where artificial intelligence now drives an 18% annual rise in sophisticated fraud. Looking forward, investment momentum is shifting toward B2B software solutions and emerging markets, alongside a convergence of crypto assets into regulated traditional banking rails.

  4. Goldman Sachs9 min

    2026 Outlook: The U.S. Is the Place to Be

    Ashok Varadhan, Tony

    Market analysts project a 2026 economic landscape characterized by moderating inflation and a terminal federal funds rate near 3% amid a moderate easing bias. While artificial intelligence investment drives corporate capital expenditure and shifts narratives toward enterprise adoption, equity markets remain resilient with no identified frothiness despite potential credit supply pressures. Strategic guidance for investors emphasizes avoiding recency bias while anticipating policy stability from tariff adjustments and a historically swift execution of administrative priorities.

  5. Sourcery with Molly O'Shea32 min

    Trae Stephens on Anduril’s Origin, Peter Thiel, & Palantir DNA

    Trae Stephens, Peter Thiel, Molly O'Shea, Sam

    Founded in 2017 by Jack Altman and former Palantir executives, Anduril Industries has transformed from a Silicon Valley outlier into a leading defense contractor by applying a software-defined hardware model to multi-domain autonomous systems. The company is rapidly scaling production through its new Arsenal One manufacturing campus in Ohio and a hybrid supply chain strategy designed to secure U.S. magazine inventory advantages against strategic competitors. By integrating Just War Theory into its operations and rejecting traditional industry advisory practices, Anduril aims to re-industrialize American defense capabilities while attracting top talent from consumer technology sectors.

  6. Sequoia Capital58 min

    Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon: What Startup Founders Get Wrong About the CEO Job

    David Solomon, Lloyd Blankfein, Hank Paulson

    Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon redefined the firm's culture and strategy through a decade of adapting to regulatory shifts and digital transformation, notably pivoting from a failed organic consumer banking initiative to refocus on core investment activities. Influenced by mentors like Lloyd Blankfein and Satya Nadella, Solomon championed a "True North" philosophy of client centricity while overseeing a significant expansion in market capitalization to $250 billion. His leadership emphasizes that long-term survival relies on balancing strength with weakness management, leveraging human judgment over pure automation, and maintaining a deep bench of experienced leaders to navigate complex crises.

  7. Milken Institute35 min

    Capturing AI’s Momentum: Pathways to Growth and Productivity | Middle East & Africa Summit 2025

    Eleni Giokos, Alex Israel, Antonoaldo Neves, Saad Toma

    IBM, Etihad Airways, and Metropolis leaders discuss how enterprises are leveraging AI to drive tangible efficiency gains, citing IBM's $9.5 billion book of business and $4.5 billion in internal savings alongside Etihad's automated revenue management. The panel highlights a geopolitical landscape defined by US-China competition, noting a 156-qubit quantum chip breakthrough by IBM while emphasizing that the primary barrier to adoption remains data unification rather than technology limitations. Participants diverge on labor market impacts, balancing Alex's concerns over skilled job displacement with Antonello's optimism regarding workforce evolution toward higher-order questioning skills.

  8. 80,000 Hours2h 48m

    U.S. Defense Strategist on How AI Drone Warfare Could Spiral Out of Control

    Stanislav Petrov, Paul Scharre, Luisa Rodriguez, Bob Work

    Experts define a "battlefield singularity" where autonomous drone swarms and cyber systems will soon outpace human cognitive limits, creating a risk of "flash wars" triggered in milliseconds without human intervention. While the United States and China race to integrate these technologies, the shift toward human-out-of-the-loop decision-making threatens nuclear stability through false alarm risks and destabilizing arms races. To mitigate these dangers, policymakers propose targeted bans on anti-personnel autonomy and mandatory human "circuit breakers" to preserve moral accountability and prevent catastrophic escalation.

  9. Y Combinator12 min

    How Intelligent Is AI, Really?

    Diana Hu, Greg Kamradt, François Chollet

    The ARC Prize Foundation, guided by François Chollet's definition of intelligence as efficient novelty, is advancing its benchmark through the upcoming interactive Arc AGI v3, which removes all textual instructions to test agent generalization via video game-like environments. Major industry players including OpenAI, xAI, Google, and Anthropic have adopted the benchmark as a standard metric, though the Foundation explicitly warns that high scores alone do not constitute AGI and emphasizes efficiency in data and energy consumption over simple accuracy. The organization maintains a rigorous stance that true artificial general intelligence will only be declared when systems demonstrate human-level adaptability and efficiency, immediately analyzing any system achieving perfect benchmark scores for potential overfitting rather than accepting them as a final milestone.

  10. Sourcery with Molly O'Shea35 min

    Full Anduril R&D Tour: Matt Grimm, Co-Founder & COO

    Matt Grimm, Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Trae Stephens, Molly O'Shea

    Founded in 2017, Anduril has rapidly scaled to a global workforce of 7,000 employees operating across 35 offices to manufacture autonomous defense systems like the Ghost Shark submarine and Fury aerial vehicle. The company leverages an iterative R&D model and dedicated facilities in Rhode Island and Sydney to transition from rapid prototyping to mass production of AI-enabled battlefield ecosystems. Led by CEO Brian and co-founder Palmer Luckey, Anduril focuses on building a cohesive command network that integrates ground, air, and soldier-borne compute nodes to execute large-scale military contracts.

  11. Sourcery with Molly O'Shea32 min

    Anduril CEO Brian Schimpf on $1B+ Revenue & Still Doubling

    Brian Schimpf, Molly O'Shea

    Anduril, now a $30 billion company employing 7,000 people, is capitalizing on a shifting global security landscape by deploying its Lattice software platform to manufacture autonomous systems at commercial scales for land, air, and sea domains. Through a meritocratic culture that rejects legacy cost-plus contracting, leadership prioritizes fixed-price deals and localized supply chains to accelerate the delivery of affordable, high-volume technologies like the "Ghost Shark" drone in Australia. With US procurement spending lagging behind historic defense needs, the firm is positioning itself as a primary engine for the international transition toward rapid industrial production and software-driven warfare.

  12. Milken Institute6 min

    LeadersLink Kapila Viges

    Kapila Viges

    Kapila Vygis, CEO of the MPN Research Foundation, leveraged the LeadersLink program to secure mentorship and partnerships necessary for establishing a large-scale real-world evidence registry for myeloproliferative neoplasms. This initiative aims to collect electronic medical records to identify disease progression biomarkers and validate "progression-free survival" as a clinical trial endpoint for the 300,000 U.S. patients affected by these rare blood cancers. By adopting a phased roadmap developed with IQVIA and input from diverse stakeholders, the foundation is addressing data quality and cost sustainability to ultimately create curative-focused treatment strategies.

  13. Milken Institute6 min

    LeadersLink Eszter Hars

    Eszter Hars, Esther Harst

    Esther Harst, a molecular biologist and CEO of the Schwarzman-Diamond Syndrome Alliance, is deploying a patient-entered data platform to address the critical lack of "patient voice" insights in treating this rare genetic disorder that causes fatal leukemia in many patients. The initiative has secured IRB approval and is preparing to launch a pilot study to mobilize the community, facilitate clinical trial matchmaking, and catalyze global collaborations through an open architecture. Building on over 20 years of biotech experience, Harst aims to expand the program to the entire SDS community early next year after validating data utility and patient trust during the pilot phase.

  14. 20VC with Harry Stebbings1h 12m

    a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI?

    David George, Harry Stebbings

    Andreessen Horowitz highlights its historic $1 billion fund, featuring 7x returns from Databricks and 5x from Coinbase, to demonstrate that large capital pools can still generate exceptional early-stage returns. The firm argues that the private market's tenfold expansion over the last decade signals a structural shift toward higher corporate longevity and better capital efficiency compared to deteriorating public market metrics. In the AI sector, a16z prioritizes founders with deep domain expertise and aggressive execution, betting that productivity gains and task-based pricing models will drive a decade-long transition of spend from human labor to technology.

  15. Sourcery with Molly O'Shea39 min

    Inside Anduril: Exclusive HQ Tour w/ Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm & Trae Stephens

    Palmer Luckey, Brian Schimpf, Matt Grimm, Trae Stephens, Molly O'Shea

    Anduril is rapidly scaling its autonomous defense capabilities through massive manufacturing expansions in Ohio and globally, driven by a strategic shift toward industrial speed and affordability over traditional technological edge. Key programs like the Fury autonomous fighter and Ghost Shark underwater vehicle demonstrate the company's ability to outpace legacy contractors such as Boeing and Lockheed Martin while addressing critical capability gaps for allies like Australia. By redefining the defense industry as a product-focused enterprise, the firm aims to transform the U.S. production base into a decisive wartime asset capable of mass-producing systems that integrate AI, optical camouflage, and distributed command structures.