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  1. Goldman Sachs9 min

    Staying long US assets

    Ashok Varadhan, Chris Hussey

    Economic analysts project a benign inflation trajectory toward the Federal Reserve's 2% target and a low probability of recession, supported by a resilient labor market and the current absence of significant tariff-driven price spikes. While market returns are expected to moderate from recent highs, the outlook remains anchored in a 65-70% allocation to US assets driven by hyperscaler competitiveness, complemented by a balanced approach to global currencies and fixed income within a stable 4.5% to 4.6% Treasury yield environment. Investors are advised to monitor upcoming budget reconciliation data for potential shifts in trade or deficit narratives, though current volatility is viewed as temporary as risk premiums gravitate toward a sensible baseline.

  2. Goldman Sachs25 min

    How to win: Steve Cohen on markets and the Mets

    Steve Cohen, Tony Pasquariello

    Steve Cohen, founder of Point72, discusses the firm's strategic pivot toward a conservative multi-strategy model and the integration of AI to generate alpha amidst declining market efficiency. While ceasing personal trading to focus on mentoring portfolio managers and managing the New York Mets, Cohen outlines his vision for expanding the firm's private credit pillar and developing a major resort complex in Queens. He further details his leadership philosophy, emphasizing direct communication and the creation of internal talent pipelines over external acquisitions to sustain long-term performance.

  3. Goldman Sachs19 min

    A German economic revival?

    Wolfgang Fink, Allison Nathan

    The new German coalition government has enacted legislation to unlock €500 billion for infrastructure and committed to raising defense spending to 3.5% of GDP by 2030, while simultaneously implementing reforms to boost economic competitiveness. These structural shifts occur amidst significant external pressure from U.S. tariff proposals that threaten the Eurozone's GDP and force multinational corporations to restructure supply chains, particularly within the automotive and chemical sectors. Despite macroeconomic headwinds and elevated valuations in European markets, robust M&A activity persists as companies accelerate digital transformation and restructuring to navigate a volatile geoeconomic landscape without an imminent recession on the horizon.

  4. Goldman Sachs25 min

    How Goldman Sachs’ John Waldron is navigating “a more uncertain time”

    John Waldron, Allison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs reports that the U.S. economy remains resilient against recession fears despite April tariff shocks, though persistent fiscal deficits and policy uncertainty continue to constrain corporate capital investment and global capital allocation. The firm has moderated its own risk positioning while anticipating a resurgence in capital markets activity this summer, provided no further exogenous policy disruptions occur. Leadership is simultaneously pivoting toward operational excellence and technology infrastructure to stabilize revenue streams and navigate a volatile environment defined by shifting interest rates and tariff trajectories.

  5. Goldman Sachs30 min

    Alnylam’s Yvonne Greenstreet on RNAi and a ‘golden era’ in biotech

    Yvonne Greenstreet, Jerry Lee

    Alnylam Pharmaceuticals leverages a decade of RNA interference research to achieve a 55% clinical success rate and recently secured approval for Amvutra to treat hereditary transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis. Under CEO Yvonne Greenstreet, the company aims to become a top-five biotech leader by 2026 through a five-year strategy to deliver 25 clinical programs and expand into common diseases like hypertension. To reach this goal, Alnylam integrates AI-driven drug design with a culture of diversity and patient advocacy to de-risk development and target tissues beyond the liver, including the central nervous system.

  6. Goldman Sachs22 min

    A world of opportunity: Rob Citrone’s best ideas

    Rob Citrone, Tony Pasquariello

    Discovery Capital Management founder Robert Citrone outlines a macro strategy delivering 50% annual returns in 2023 and 2024, driven by high-conviction short positions in U.S. regional banks and a bullish thesis on Latin American markets. Citrone forecasts a "fake recession" in the U.S. before a 2026 boom fueled by tax cuts, predicting higher Treasury yields and resisting near-term Fed rate cuts while championing Argentina's fiscal reforms as a prime investment opportunity. The firm combines Julian Robertson's stock-picking with George Soros's risk management, leveraging a unique 24-hour trading cycle and direct global policy access to capitalize on emerging political shifts and market inefficiencies.

  7. Goldman Sachs42 min

    Harvard’s Raj Chetty on upward mobility in America

    Raj Chetty, Greg Shell

    Research by Dr. Raj Chetty and the Opportunity Atlas team reveals a sharp decline in intergenerational income mobility, with the likelihood of children out-earning their parents dropping from 92% for the 1940 cohort to roughly 50% for those born in the mid-1980s. The analysis identifies four primary drivers of upward movement, with cross-class social capital acting as the strongest predictor, while highlighting successful local interventions like Charlotte's $160 million investment and Vaughan College's model that combines high access with strong technical outcomes. These findings suggest that targeted strategies integrating financial aid with social support can effectively reverse trends of regional inequality without relying solely on broad federal policy changes.

  8. Goldman Sachs24 min

    Repricing risks post tariff truce

    Tony Pasquarello, Dominic Wilson, Josh Shiffrin

    A panel of analysts forecasts a low but non-zero recession risk while projecting 1% growth amid a "higher inflation, lower growth" environment driven by effective tariff rates of 12% to 13%. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in 2025 if unemployment exceeds 4.5%, potentially ushering in a dovish regime that supports equities despite narrow paths constrained by bond market volatility and deficit concerns. While U.S. dollar depreciation may cushion equity performance, the discussion concludes with a cultural segment where Josh Shiffrin and Dominic Wilson critique the narrative outcomes of *Lost*, *The Shining*, and *The Departed*.

  9. Goldman Sachs7 min

    Why tech stocks could keep rallying

    Peter Callahan, Chris Hussey

    Following a sharp correction in early 2024, the Nasdaq recovered to a flat annual performance driven by resilient S&P 500 earnings growth, clearer trade policies, and renewed capital deployment into artificial intelligence. Goldman Sachs technology specialist Pete Callahan highlights that large-cap tech stocks are regaining defensive status amid a return of dispersion within the "Magnificent Seven," creating specific stock-picking opportunities. With macro fears receding in favor of micro-level AI catalysts, the prevailing strategy recommends maintaining positions through the remainder of the year despite ongoing scrutiny of inflation data and bond market rates near 4.5%.

  10. Goldman Sachs10 min

    “Long stocks, short bonds”

    Anshul Sehgal, Chris Hussey

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell prioritized stabilizing the domestic labor market while the central bank maintained current interest rates amidst stagflation risks and uncertain tariff impacts. The administration projects $300 billion in annual tariff revenue alongside increased spending, creating a fiscal environment that pressures the dollar and drives a strategic shift toward long equities and short bonds. Investors are compressing their trading horizons to hourly assessments as they navigate high volatility driven by potential job losses and the first significant inflation data release in July.

  11. Goldman Sachs42 min

    From CIO to CEO: TCW’s Katie Koch on running a $200B asset manager

    Katie Koch, Allison Mass

    TCW President and CEO Katie Koch, a former Goldman Sachs CIO with two decades of investment experience, is steering the firm's strategic evolution from its fixed-income heritage into private credit and ETFs to address a shrinking public market landscape. Leveraging significant dry powder during recent market dislocations, Koch emphasizes a culture rooted in integrity and psychological safety while executing active management strategies designed to generate outsized returns for institutional clients. Her leadership philosophy blends operational discipline with personal values regarding resilience, aiming to provide holistic investment solutions that allow borrowers and investors to navigate volatility across both public and private asset classes.

  12. Goldman Sachs25 min

    Wise Founder Taavet Hinrikus on Europe’s Tech Renaissance

    Taavet Hinrikus, Clif Marriott

    Tavit Tammemäe catalyzed Estonia's transformation into a European tech powerhouse by co-founding Skype, which triggered a wave of successful exits, and later launching the fintech unicorn Wise. Transitioning from operator to investor, he founded Plural in 2021 alongside four other former European CEOs to deploy €500 million in Fund II toward complex, high-impact sectors like defense and healthcare AI. The firm targets "obsessed" founders capable of building $100 billion companies, aiming to replicate the scalability of Skype and Wise within the European market.

  13. Goldman Sachs22 min

    AI Exchanges: How tech giants are navigating the AI landscape

    Eric Sheridan, Allison Nathan, George Lee

    Major technology giants are sustaining record capital expenditures through 2025 to solidify AI infrastructure dominance, with Goldman Sachs projecting this peak intensity to slow in 2026 despite tariff-related cost increases. Executives from Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon characterize the sector as being in the early innings of a third computing shift, prioritizing defensive positioning and infrastructure monetization over immediate application-layer profitability. Although investor sentiment remains bifurcated by macroeconomic risks, current valuations reflect a strategic reliance on these incumbents' unprecedented balance sheet scale to navigate the transition from raw training to commercial deployment.

  14. Goldman Sachs13 min

    Stagflation and the Fed's next move

    Rob Kaplan, Alison Nathan

    The U.S. economy confronts a stagflationary shock driven by spending cuts, restrictive immigration policies, and tariff uncertainty, creating a complex backdrop for Federal Reserve monetary strategy. Policymakers are advised to pause rate decisions at the May meeting to assess new trade data while maintaining a tough rhetorical stance to anchor inflation expectations without pre-committing to specific future cuts. As the Fed balances its dual mandate amidst potential political pressure, global investors are cautiously retaining dollar allocations despite signs of institutional skepticism and capital outflows that are currently characterized as temporary positioning rather than a permanent strategic shift.

  15. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Time to buy bonds?

    Lindsay Rosner, Chris Hussey

    Despite a macroeconomic shift toward higher inflation and lower growth driven by tariff announcements since April, the 10-year Treasury yield has remained stable while credit spreads have partially recovered from their initial widening. Goldman Sachs Asset Management has strategically increased portfolio duration and favored Investment Grade credit over High Yield, citing bond outperformance versus equities and the U.S. dollar's status as a global safe haven. Although the firm acknowledges an increased recession probability and sector divergence within travel, it concludes that current market pricing does not yet fully reflect downside risks, prompting continued allocation to structured credit opportunities.