Latest Interviews
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs26 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 1: The Big Picture
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects 2026 global growth to reach 2.7%, driven by the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act," German fiscal easing, and the fading impact of 2025 tariffs. The firm forecasts a 2.5% expansion for the U.S. economy alongside expected Federal Reserve rate cuts that aim to lower inflation and address labor market stagnation. While equities are anticipated to deliver low double-digit returns, analysts warn of recession risks tied to the "SOM Rule" and elevated valuations that may trigger significant market volatility.
- Goldman Sachs31 min
What’s ahead for economies and markets in 2023?
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects a 35% probability of a U.S. recession in 2023 despite a baseline forecast for positive growth driven by cooling inflation and a labor market correction via reduced job openings. The firm anticipates Federal Reserve funds rates peaking between 5% and 5.25% by May, followed by a pause and potential cuts in late 2024 as inflation targets 3%. While U.S. equity valuations remain constrained by tight labor and rich pricing, emerging markets and Europe offer deeper discounts supported by anticipated global growth recovery and a structurally weakening dollar.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Reflation Risk
Allison Nathan, Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and Goldman Sachs' Jan Hatzius debated whether U.S. fiscal stimulus will trigger a 1970s-style inflationary spiral, with Hatzius arguing that a 6% output gap and temporary spending measures justify the Federal Reserve's tolerance for average inflation targeting. While bond market strategist Dominic Wilson noted that recent yield increases reflect growth acceleration rather than policy surprises, the consensus suggests a rotation into cyclical assets as investors anticipate Fed rate hikes beginning in early 2022. Goldman Sachs projects tapering in early 2022 with a first rate hike in 2024, advising investors to favor cyclical equities and non-gold commodities over rate-sensitive growth stocks during this transition.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
A Vaccine-Led Recovery
Goldman Sachs Research has revised its central growth case to a 2021 recovery trajectory following a surge in vaccine approval probabilities from 10% to 50% by late October. While near-term growth forecasts for the US and Europe face downward pressure from rising case counts, the firm projects a 2% GDP uplift by year-end 2021, driving market rotations into commodity and emerging market sectors. Investors are advised to navigate interim volatility caused by operational distribution risks and policy gaps, relying on the vaccine's timeline as a medium-term anchor for global economic acceleration starting in the second quarter of 2021.