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  1. The Economist8 min

    Could markets topple the global economy?

    Henry, Tom, John, Will

    A recent analysis argues that the AI-driven stock market boom masks severe economic fragility, with consumer wealth exposure now exceeding 1990s levels and AI revenue falling far short of capital expenditure requirements. A potential market correction would directly impair US households, likely prompting a Trump administration to manage bailouts through discretionary lending while triggering a global recession that could shift investor preference toward Europe. As the 2026 horizon approaches, rising fears of AI-driven job displacement in entry-level roles may accelerate corporate adoption of automation technologies as a cost-saving measure amid economic downturns.

  2. The Economist10 min

    Covid-19: why your life will never be the same again

    James Francham, Tom

    The Economist has developed a global normality index tracking behavioral shifts across 50 nations in transport, leisure, and business to quantify the transition from pandemic restrictions to post-pandemic norms. Historical precedents like the Black Death and the 1918 flu inform the analysis of how health crises drive structural change, while current data suggests a hybrid world is emerging where retail habits and office occupancy permanently settle between pre-pandemic levels and new digital realities. Although long-term outcomes depend on future vaccine efficacy, the index confirms that society is moving toward a "normality tracker" that captures simultaneous acceleration of remote work and revival of mid-century trends like drive-throughs.