Harry Stebbings
Showing 166–180 of 632 transcripts.
20VC Exclusive: Mercury Founder Launches First $26M Fund with Immad Akhund
After closing a $26 million institutional fund with a 60/40 split of Fund of Funds and entrepreneur limited partners, Harry expanded his portfolio strategy to target 60 diverse companies while integrating Yash Doshi as a full-time operating partner. Drawing on over 350 prior angel investments and lessons from successes like TrueBill and the regret of rejecting Scale AI, Harry advocates for a "decahorn" hunting approach that prioritizes serial founders and accepts high valuations to preserve optionality. Looking forward, the fund is shifting allocations toward hard tech and AI while positioning Mercury for a $2.5 trillion integrated banking market, with plans to scale the portfolio to 150 companies and potentially lead seed rounds.
Benchmark vs a16z: Why Stage Specific Firms Win
Rory O'Driscoll, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings
A recent analysis contrasts the hit-rate precision of focused funds like Benchmark against the aggregate returns of mega-funds, highlighting how the latter's dominance forces mid-tier firms into an "option value" squeeze while distorting Series A and B pricing. Concurrently, the venture landscape is shifting toward high-risk AI-driven "option value" investments as M&A activity accelerates with strategic acquisitions like Windsurf by OpenAI and distressed exits for high-flier startups. Experts warn that while AI will displace up to 50% of knowledge workers within 24 months, the broader economic impact may mirror historical tech revolutions by increasing efficiency without significantly boosting global GDP, compelling firms to adopt AI-first workflows or face obsolescence.
Bucky Moore @ Lightspeed Venture Partners: Why You Cannot Do VC If You Do Not Do Pre-Seed
Following his move from Kleiner Perkins to Lightspeed Venture Partners as a partner, Bucky Brown outlines a strategic pivot toward supporting mega-platforms capable of deploying billions in capital to capture multi-trillion dollar AI outcomes. He argues that while model providers will dominate core categories, the "long tail" of specialized enterprise applications remains a viable space for early-stage ventures, provided investors prioritize deep domain expertise and founder selection over traditional market sizing. Brown warns that mid-sized funds face increasing obsolescence as the market polarizes, urging a conservative capital approach and a focus on "Team" to navigate the extreme capital intensity and rapid adoption defining the current AI era.
What Does it Take to Be Good at Series A and B Today?
Rory O'Driscoll, Jason Lemkin, Fabrice Grinda, Harry Stebbings
Venture capital markets are currently navigating a dual reality defined by an AI-fueled "gold rush" and a constrained liquidity environment where exit windows remain closed. Investors are diverging between aggressive "megatrend" bets on artificial intelligence and defense technology versus deep-value plays in digitized B2B sectors, while grappling with rapidly evolving risks such as model obsolescence and geopolitical instability. This high-velocity landscape is forcing strategic shifts toward earlier exits, a preference for "deranged" founders capable of exponential scaling, and a structural reevaluation of how private company lifecycles align with technological obsolescence.
Plural Partner, Taavet Hinrikus: Why Founders Will Realise Multi-Stage Funds Damage Seed Rounds
Taavet Hinrikus, Harry Stebbings
Venture capitalist Tal Talbot outlines Plural's strategic shift toward a low-fee, high-volume model that aligns incentives by charging half the industry standard management fee and requiring partners to personally back every investment. The firm targets deep hard-tech sectors like defense, fusion, and AI, explicitly rejecting saturated enterprise software markets to pursue 100x returns while advocating for European geopolitical sovereignty through government purchasing and unified capital mobilization. With Fund II expanding its reserve ratio to 50% and targeting companies such as Helsing and Proxima Fusion, Plural aims to rebuild Europe's critical industries amid a tri-polar global landscape where traditional VC metrics are declining.
How LP Deployment to Venture Will Change in 2025 & Are Endowment Funds in Trouble?
Rory O'Driscoll, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings
OpenAI is pursuing strategic acquisitions like Windsurf or Cursor to solidify its coding dominance against competitors, a move driven by a market consensus that treats AI adoption as an inevitable paradigm shift comparable to the internet era. Parallel to this corporate maneuvering, the venture capital landscape is undergoing structural compression where multi-stage firms are squeezing out pure seed funds and endowments face liquidity pressures, forcing a pivot toward high-conviction bets on outlier founders in the Bay Area. While investors prioritize capital-efficient vertical SaaS opportunities to avoid the churn associated with horizontal AI roll-ups, they remain compelled to deploy capital at elevated valuations to secure positions in potential massive exits.
Dave CEO, Jason Wilk: The Best Performing Fund Would Only Back YC Founders on Their Second Time
Dave, Jason Wilk, Harry Stebbings
Dave CEO Jason Goldman details how the fintech firm reversed a 98% market capitalization decline to reach $1.13 billion by leveraging AI-driven underwriting to slash credit loss rates and achieve significant profitability without layoffs. The company utilizes cashflow-based analysis across 12 million accounts to offer low-cost credit alternatives to legacy overdraft fees, projecting continued expansion into buy now, pay later and longer-duration lending. Goldman argues that the firm's capital efficiency and removal of traditional debt structures position it to disrupt the $3 trillion credit card market, though he cautions against regulatory overreach that could stifle consumer access to fair lending.
a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game
Josh Kushner, Rory O'Driscoll, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings
The discussion analyzes a shifting venture capital landscape dominated by high-concentration "Thrive" strategies that prioritize massive late-stage liquidity over diversified early-stage portfolios, while noting that traditional SaaS models are becoming obsolete due to volatile product-market fits and aggressive AI competition. Investors face significant headwinds including a $2 trillion liquidity crunch in mature software, a mismatch between PE acquisition criteria and VC-backed horizontal startups, and ethical erosion driven by normalized secondary cash-outs and accounting manipulation. Despite these structural risks, institutions continue deploying capital into binary AI bets and founder-concentrated funds, even as market valuations reach unsustainable levels that threaten a future correction when private exit mechanisms fail to satisfy limited partners.
Benchmark GP, Victor Lazarte: The 3 Traits All the Best Founders Have
Victor Lazarte, Harry Stebbings, Peter Fenton
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Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem
Tom Hulme, Stan Boland, Jensen Huang, Harry Stebbings
A panel of experts warns that the UK risks falling behind the US in wealth generation due to a chronic venture capital shortfall, a talent gap exacerbated by brain drain, and structural barriers in tax and education policy. To reverse this trend, the speakers propose a strategic pivot toward specialized sectors like defense and semiconductor design, alongside concrete reforms such as redirecting R&D tax credits into concentrated fund-of-funds models and aggregating pension capital to unlock billions in private investment. This roadmap aims to generate $4 trillion in tech wealth over two decades by aligning public policy with the needs of high-growth hardware and AI infrastructure companies rather than generic consumer applications.
Carvana CEO & Co-Founder, Ernest Garcia: Building a $50B Company, Losing 99% and Coming Back
Ernest Garcia, Harry Stebbings
Carvana founder Dan Saks describes the company's volatile journey from a near-death capital crisis and a 99% stock decline to operational resilience, driven by a strategic rejection of software-layer models in favor of complex vertical integration. The organization now prioritizes hiring practical operators over strategists and utilizes AI to enhance efficiency while maintaining a flat hierarchy designed to maximize direct problem-solving. Looking forward, Carvana aims to balance growth with foundational stability, leveraging its massive inventory infrastructure to scale toward millions of vehicles while adhering to Benjamin Graham's principle that public markets eventually reward genuine results over short-term sentiment.
Kevin Scott, CTO @ Microsoft: An Evaluation of Deepseek and How We Underestimate the Chinese
Satya Nadella asserts that the current AI era offers unprecedented entrepreneurial opportunities, urging active iteration to transform raw models into user-centric products before scaling laws reach their eventual asymptote. He outlines a future where specialized agents and AI-generated code elevate software engineering productivity, while large enterprises and startups coexist within a hybrid ecosystem that leverages existing distribution alongside disruptive innovation. With frontier models already outperforming average medical practitioners in diagnostics, Nadella advocates for rapid global deployment to address scarcity in healthcare and education, emphasizing that leadership success depends on amplifying individual strengths rather than fixing weaknesses.
Julia Hoggett, CEO @ LSEG plc: The Myths and the Reality of The London Stock Exchange
Julia Hoggett, Dame Julia Hoggett, Harry Stebbings
Addressing a three-decade market disconnect driven by outdated regulations and pension reform, the London Stock Exchange has implemented a five-pillar "Fast-Fire" agenda to revive capital raising by aligning listing rules with global standards and restoring bank-funded research. Central to this strategy is a shift toward outcome-based regulation and the Mansion House Compact, which commits the UK's largest pension schemes to allocating 5% of assets to private companies while proposing a tapered stamp duty to incentivize domestic investment. These structural changes aim to transition the UK from a cost-focused regulatory model to a vibrant ecosystem where domestic capital fuels entrepreneurship, positioning London as the second-largest equity market globally for 2024-25.
Mitchell Green, Founder @ Lead Edge Capital: Why Traditional VC is Broken
Mitchell Green, Harry Stebbings
Lead Edge Partners executes a disciplined mid-market software strategy targeting revenue multiples of 10 to 80 million dollars, explicitly favoring private exits to strategic acquirers over public listings. The firm leverages an eight-criteria framework and a dedicated disposition committee to prioritize capital efficiency and real liquidity returns, while aggressively divesting underperforming assets regardless of mark-to-market losses. By focusing on "boring" infrastructure and mature businesses rather than hyped consumer trends, the firm aims to navigate a potential venture capital correction and deliver consistent 2x to 5x returns within a three-to-seven-year horizon.
Andrew Feldman, Cerebras Co-Founder and CEO: The AI Chip Wars & The Plan to Break Nvidia's Dominance
Andrew Feldman, Harry Stebbings
Cerebrus addresses the critical inefficiency of current GPU inference through wafer-scale computing that replaces off-chip memory with massive on-chip SRAM to process large models with unprecedented power efficiency. Led by CEO Andrew Kaspar, the company serves as a strategic partner to G42 while navigating geopolitical constraints by voluntarily excluding sales to China, thereby securing a unique market position distinct from traditional semiconductor giants. This approach supports a predicted industry shift where inference volume grows over 100x, driven by enterprise demands for hardware that prioritizes millisecond latency and operational stability over training speed.