Joan Rohlfing

How to avoid catastrophic nuclear blunders | Joan Rohlfing (2022)

Joan Rohlfing, Rob Woodland

In October 2021, expert Joan Rolfing presented "Beyond the Precipice," arguing that global nuclear risk has reached unprecedented levels due to the inherent fragility of the Cold War-era deterrence strategy and escalating cyber vulnerabilities. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, Rolfing further detailed how the collapse of arms control treaties and the concentration of launch authority have doubled the probability of catastrophic nuclear use. She advocates for a fundamental paradigm shift toward fail-safe systems, the integration of advanced verification technologies, and significant philanthropic investment to replace the current trillion-dollar modernization trajectory with sustainable risk reduction measures.