Jude Driscoll

Credit Markets: Back to Neutral?

Mary Childs, Michael Buchanan, Mike Damaso, Jude Driscoll, Justin Slatky, Anne Walsh, Mike Buchanan

Panelists at this December 2018 credit market forum identified an extended credit cycle and deteriorating covenant quality as primary drivers of systemic risk, highlighting the fragility of the BBB sector and the shift from bank-driven to buy-side storage businesses. The discussion detailed specific vulnerabilities such as a looming "wall of maturities" for fallen angels, potential liquidity mismatches in the burgeoning private credit market, and regulatory constraints that have stripped dealers of their traditional role as market stabilizers. Ultimately, active managers were advised to monitor corporate leverage ratios and new issuance structures for early distress signals, positioning themselves to capitalize on anticipated volatility and generate alpha during the next downturn.